مدرسة الاحتمالات

Quentin Halys v Alexander Zverev

البداية: 2026-03-25 02:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Quentin Halys (المضيف)

التنبؤ 15.56%6.43السعر العادل
EV +8.79%
الأفضلية +1.26%
Kelly +1.47%
النمو +0.129%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.99

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.81%15.50%15.63%17.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.506.126.106.9918.18%16.33%16.39%14.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alexander Zverev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 84.44%1.18السعر العادل
EV -3.74%
الأفضلية -3.28%
Kelly -26.73%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.14

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
82.83%84.50%84.37%86.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.111.131.131.1490.09%88.87%88.50%87.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings6.99I 14.31%NM 13.81%EV +8.79%E +1.26%K +1.47%G +0.129%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.19%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-25 01:54
Pinnacle6.95I 14.39%NM 14.09%EV +8.16%E +1.17%K +1.37%G +0.112%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.91%EV -3.74%E -3.28%K -26.73%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-25 01:55
1xBet6.77I 14.77%NM 14.30%EV +5.36%E +0.792%K +0.930%G +0.050%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.70%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-25 01:54
FanDuel6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +4.27%E +0.638%K +0.750%G +0.032%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 01:55
SportsBet6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +4.27%E +0.638%K +0.750%G +0.032%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 01:55
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.16%E +0.179%K +0.211%G +0.002%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 01:51
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.16%E +0.179%K +0.211%G +0.002%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-25 01:55
theScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.16%E +0.179%K +0.211%G +0.002%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-25 01:55
LowVig.ag6.43I 15.55%NM 14.95%EV +0.072%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.05%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 01:55
BetOnline.ag6.43I 15.55%NM 14.95%EV +0.072%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.05%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 01:54
Marathon Bet6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -1.95%E -0.310%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 01:55
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -2.73%E -0.437%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.74%E -3.28%K -26.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 01:55
Bet Right6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.73%E -0.437%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 01:55
Unibet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:55
TABtouch6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
BetRivers6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
LeoVegas6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:55
LiveScore Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:55
Unibet (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:55
Unibet (NL)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:55
Casumo6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
Grosvenor6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
Fanatics6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
Svenska Spel6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:55
ATG (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
betPARX6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
Bally Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
Betsson6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 01:55
NordicBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 01:55
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 01:54
ReBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 01:55
Hard Rock Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 01:54
Betr (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:55
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:55
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:55
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:54
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:55
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:49
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:55
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:49
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:49
TAB6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 01:55
Caesars6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 01:54
PMU (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 01:50
Winamax (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -8.18%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 01:55
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.51%E -1.83%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 01:55
BetUS5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.51%E -1.83%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 01:55
Parions Sport (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -11.29%E -1.98%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:55
Virgin Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -12.85%E -2.29%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 01:54
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.40%E -2.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.74%E -3.28%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 01:55
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.40%E -2.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-25 01:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%0.5%2026-03-25 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%1.2%2026-03-25 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%1.2%2026-03-25 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%1.2%2026-03-25 01:55
Novig7.25I 13.79%NM 13.59%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.41%1.5%2026-03-25 01:55
ProphetX7.10I 14.08%NM 13.83%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.17%1.8%2026-03-25 01:55
Smarkets7.20I 13.89%NM 13.46%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.54%3.2%2026-03-25 01:55