L’École des cotes

Quentin Halys v Alexander Zverev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-25 02:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Quentin Halys (Local)

Prévision 15.56%6.43cote équitable
EV +8.79%
Avantage +1.26%
Kelly +1.47%
Croissance +0.129%

avec la cote maximale 6.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.81%15.50%15.63%17.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.126.106.9918.18%16.33%16.39%14.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexander Zverev (Visiteur)

Prévision 84.44%1.18cote équitable
EV -3.74%
Avantage -3.28%
Kelly -26.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.83%84.50%84.37%86.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.131.131.1490.09%88.87%88.50%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings6.99I 14.31%NM 13.81%EV +8.79%E +1.26%K +1.47%G +0.129%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.19%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-25 01:54
Pinnacle6.95I 14.39%NM 14.09%EV +8.16%E +1.17%K +1.37%G +0.112%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.91%EV -3.74%E -3.28%K -26.73%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-25 01:55
1xBet6.77I 14.77%NM 14.30%EV +5.36%E +0.792%K +0.930%G +0.050%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.70%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-25 01:54
FanDuel6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +4.27%E +0.638%K +0.750%G +0.032%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 01:55
SportsBet6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +4.27%E +0.638%K +0.750%G +0.032%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 01:55
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.16%E +0.179%K +0.211%G +0.002%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 01:51
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.16%E +0.179%K +0.211%G +0.002%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-25 01:55
theScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.16%E +0.179%K +0.211%G +0.002%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-25 01:55
LowVig.ag6.43I 15.55%NM 14.95%EV +0.072%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.05%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 01:55
BetOnline.ag6.43I 15.55%NM 14.95%EV +0.072%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.05%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 01:54
Marathon Bet6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -1.95%E -0.310%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 01:55
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -2.73%E -0.437%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.74%E -3.28%K -26.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 01:55
Bet Right6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.73%E -0.437%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 01:55
Unibet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:55
TABtouch6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
BetRivers6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
LeoVegas6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:55
LiveScore Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:55
Unibet (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:55
Unibet (NL)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:55
Casumo6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
Grosvenor6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
Fanatics6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
Svenska Spel6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:55
ATG (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
betPARX6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
Bally Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
Betsson6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 01:55
NordicBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 01:55
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 01:54
ReBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 01:55
Hard Rock Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 01:54
Betr (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:55
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:55
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:55
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:54
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:55
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:49
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:55
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:49
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:49
TAB6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 01:55
Caesars6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 01:54
PMU (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 01:50
Winamax (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -8.18%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 01:55
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.51%E -1.83%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 01:55
BetUS5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.51%E -1.83%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 01:55
Parions Sport (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -11.29%E -1.98%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:55
Virgin Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -12.85%E -2.29%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 01:54
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.40%E -2.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.74%E -3.28%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 01:55
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.40%E -2.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-25 01:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%0.5%2026-03-25 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%1.2%2026-03-25 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%1.2%2026-03-25 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%1.2%2026-03-25 01:55
Novig7.25I 13.79%NM 13.59%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.41%1.5%2026-03-25 01:55
ProphetX7.10I 14.08%NM 13.83%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.17%1.8%2026-03-25 01:55
Smarkets7.20I 13.89%NM 13.46%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.54%3.2%2026-03-25 01:55