A Escola das Odds

Quentin Halys v Alexander Zverev

Início: 2026-03-25 02:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Quentin Halys (Local)

Previsão 15.56%6.43odd justa
EV +8.79%
Vantagem +1.26%
Kelly +1.47%
Crescimento +0.129%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.99

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.81%15.50%15.63%17.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.506.126.106.9918.18%16.33%16.39%14.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexander Zverev (Visitante)

Previsão 84.44%1.18odd justa
EV -3.74%
Vantagem -3.28%
Kelly -26.73%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
82.83%84.50%84.37%86.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.111.131.131.1490.09%88.87%88.50%87.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings6.99I 14.31%NM 13.81%EV +8.79%E +1.26%K +1.47%G +0.129%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.19%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-25 01:54
Pinnacle6.95I 14.39%NM 14.09%EV +8.16%E +1.17%K +1.37%G +0.112%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.91%EV -3.74%E -3.28%K -26.73%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-25 01:55
1xBet6.77I 14.77%NM 14.30%EV +5.36%E +0.792%K +0.930%G +0.050%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.70%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-25 01:54
FanDuel6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +4.27%E +0.638%K +0.750%G +0.032%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 01:55
SportsBet6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +4.27%E +0.638%K +0.750%G +0.032%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 01:55
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.16%E +0.179%K +0.211%G +0.002%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 01:51
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.16%E +0.179%K +0.211%G +0.002%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-25 01:55
theScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.16%E +0.179%K +0.211%G +0.002%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-25 01:55
LowVig.ag6.43I 15.55%NM 14.95%EV +0.072%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.05%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 01:55
BetOnline.ag6.43I 15.55%NM 14.95%EV +0.072%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.05%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 01:54
Marathon Bet6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -1.95%E -0.310%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 01:55
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -2.73%E -0.437%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.74%E -3.28%K -26.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 01:55
Bet Right6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.73%E -0.437%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 01:55
Unibet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:55
TABtouch6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
BetRivers6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
LeoVegas6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:55
LiveScore Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:55
Unibet (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:55
Unibet (NL)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:55
Casumo6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
Grosvenor6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
Fanatics6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
Svenska Spel6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:55
ATG (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
betPARX6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
Bally Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.06%E -0.830%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 01:54
Betsson6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 01:55
NordicBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 01:55
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 01:54
ReBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 01:55
Hard Rock Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 01:54
Betr (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:55
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:55
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:55
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:54
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:55
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:49
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:55
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:49
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:49
TAB6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 01:55
Caesars6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 01:54
PMU (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.62%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.28%E -5.65%K -57.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 01:50
Winamax (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -8.18%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 01:55
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.51%E -1.83%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 01:55
BetUS5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.51%E -1.83%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 01:55
Parions Sport (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -11.29%E -1.98%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -4.59%E -4.06%K -35.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 01:55
Virgin Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -12.85%E -2.29%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 01:54
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.40%E -2.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.74%E -3.28%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 01:55
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.40%E -2.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.43%E -4.85%K -45.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-25 01:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%0.5%2026-03-25 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%1.2%2026-03-25 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%1.2%2026-03-25 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%1.2%2026-03-25 01:55
Novig7.25I 13.79%NM 13.59%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.41%1.5%2026-03-25 01:55
ProphetX7.10I 14.08%NM 13.83%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.17%1.8%2026-03-25 01:55
Smarkets7.20I 13.89%NM 13.46%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.54%3.2%2026-03-25 01:55