The School of Odds

Martin Damm Jr. v Jacob Fearnley

Matchstart: 2026-03-19 21:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Martin Damm Jr. (Hemma)

Prognos 68.40%1.46rättvist odds
EV +46.37%
Fördel +21.67%
Kelly +40.68%
Tillväxt +18.86%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.14

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.41%64.54%68.65%73.77%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.281.591.402.1478.13%62.84%71.43%46.73%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Jacob Fearnley (Borta)

Prognos 31.60%3.16rättvist odds
EV +13.77%
Fördel +3.82%
Kelly +5.29%
Tillväxt +0.729%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.23%35.46%31.35%54.59%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.702.602.953.6058.82%38.49%33.90%27.78%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV +46.37%E +21.67%K +40.68%G +18.86%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -43.75%E -24.58%K -56.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 20:40
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +43.64%E +20.78%K +39.67%G +17.31%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -44.07%E -24.90%K -57.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 19:30
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +43.64%E +20.78%K +39.67%G +17.31%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -44.07%E -24.90%K -57.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 19:30
Unibet (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV +42.27%E +20.32%K +39.14%G +16.54%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -44.38%E -25.22%K -58.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:30
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +40.22%E +19.62%K +38.30%G +15.40%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -44.70%E -25.54%K -59.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:44
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +40.22%E +19.62%K +38.30%G +15.40%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -44.70%E -25.54%K -59.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:45
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV +40.22%E +19.62%K +38.30%G +15.40%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -45.65%E -26.54%K -63.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 20:35
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV +39.53%E +19.38%K +38.01%G +15.03%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -43.12%E -23.95%K -53.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 19:30
ReBet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV +38.85%E +19.14%K +37.72%G +14.65%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -43.12%E -23.95%K -53.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:29
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +38.16%E +18.89%K +37.42%G +14.28%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -42.49%E -23.34%K -51.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 20:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +36.80%E +18.40%K +36.80%G +13.54%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -43.12%E -23.95%K -53.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 19:30
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +36.80%E +18.40%K +36.80%G +13.54%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -44.07%E -24.90%K -57.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 20:10
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV +36.80%E +18.40%K +36.80%G +13.54%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -45.65%E -26.54%K -63.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:44
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV +36.80%E +18.40%K +36.80%G +13.54%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -46.28%E -27.22%K -66.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 19:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV +36.11%E +18.15%K +36.48%G +13.17%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -43.12%E -23.95%K -53.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 20:29
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV +34.74%E +17.64%K +35.82%G +12.45%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -42.49%E -23.34%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 19:29
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +33.38%E +17.12%K +35.13%G +11.73%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -43.12%E -23.95%K -53.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 19:30
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV +32.69%E +16.85%K +34.78%G +11.37%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -40.90%E -21.87%K -47.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 20:14
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV +3.28%E +2.17%K +6.43%G +0.211%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -17.84%E -6.86%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 20:54
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.19%E -1.53%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.94%E -3.49%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 20:55
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -2.87%E -2.02%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.68%E -5.44%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 20:55
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:55
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:55
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:55
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:55
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:54
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:55
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:55
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 20:55
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 20:54
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:55
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.10%E -4.76%K -7.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 20:54
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.61%E -4.07%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 20:55
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.61%E -4.07%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.61%E -4.07%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 20:55
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.61%E -4.07%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 20:55
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.61%E -4.07%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 20:55
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.29%E -4.59%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.03%E -0.656%K -0.969%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 20:55
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.29%E -4.59%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.61%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 20:54
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.29%E -4.59%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.61%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 20:55
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 20:54
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 20:54
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 20:54
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 20:55
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 20:55
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.94%E -3.49%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.52%E -4.11%K -6.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 20:54
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -9.03%E -6.79%K -27.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 20:54
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -9.71%E -7.36%K -30.36%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV +5.55%E +1.66%K +2.37%G +0.132%5.7%2026-03-19 20:55
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +7.45%E +2.19%K +3.10%G +0.231%6.3%2026-03-19 20:53
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +4.29%E +1.30%K +1.86%G +0.080%7.2%2026-03-19 20:54
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV +2.71%E +0.832%K +1.20%G +0.033%7.7%2026-03-19 20:55
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +1.13%E +0.352%K +0.511%G +0.006%8.2%2026-03-19 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -12.45%E -9.73%K -44.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +13.77%E +3.82%K +5.29%G +0.729%5.9%2026-03-19 20:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-03-19 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-03-19 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-19 20:55
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-03-19 20:54
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-03-19 20:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%3.2%2026-03-19 20:55
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 71.24%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.76%6.3%2026-03-19 20:55