مدرسة الاحتمالات

Martin Damm Jr. v Jacob Fearnley

البداية: 2026-03-19 21:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Martin Damm Jr. (المضيف)

التنبؤ 68.40%1.46السعر العادل
EV +46.37%
الأفضلية +21.67%
Kelly +40.68%
النمو +18.86%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.14

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.41%64.54%68.65%73.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.281.591.402.1478.13%62.84%71.43%46.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jacob Fearnley (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.60%3.16السعر العادل
EV +13.77%
الأفضلية +3.82%
Kelly +5.29%
النمو +0.729%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.23%35.46%31.35%54.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.702.602.953.6058.82%38.49%33.90%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV +46.37%E +21.67%K +40.68%G +18.86%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -43.75%E -24.58%K -56.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 20:40
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +43.64%E +20.78%K +39.67%G +17.31%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -44.07%E -24.90%K -57.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 19:30
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +43.64%E +20.78%K +39.67%G +17.31%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -44.07%E -24.90%K -57.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 19:30
Unibet (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV +42.27%E +20.32%K +39.14%G +16.54%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -44.38%E -25.22%K -58.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:30
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +40.22%E +19.62%K +38.30%G +15.40%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -44.70%E -25.54%K -59.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:44
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +40.22%E +19.62%K +38.30%G +15.40%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -44.70%E -25.54%K -59.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:45
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV +40.22%E +19.62%K +38.30%G +15.40%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -45.65%E -26.54%K -63.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 20:35
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV +39.53%E +19.38%K +38.01%G +15.03%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -43.12%E -23.95%K -53.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 19:30
ReBet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV +38.85%E +19.14%K +37.72%G +14.65%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -43.12%E -23.95%K -53.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:29
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +38.16%E +18.89%K +37.42%G +14.28%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -42.49%E -23.34%K -51.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 20:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +36.80%E +18.40%K +36.80%G +13.54%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -43.12%E -23.95%K -53.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 19:30
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +36.80%E +18.40%K +36.80%G +13.54%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -44.07%E -24.90%K -57.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 20:10
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV +36.80%E +18.40%K +36.80%G +13.54%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -45.65%E -26.54%K -63.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:44
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV +36.80%E +18.40%K +36.80%G +13.54%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -46.28%E -27.22%K -66.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 19:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV +36.11%E +18.15%K +36.48%G +13.17%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -43.12%E -23.95%K -53.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 20:29
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV +34.74%E +17.64%K +35.82%G +12.45%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -42.49%E -23.34%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 19:29
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +33.38%E +17.12%K +35.13%G +11.73%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -43.12%E -23.95%K -53.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 19:30
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV +32.69%E +16.85%K +34.78%G +11.37%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -40.90%E -21.87%K -47.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 20:14
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV +3.28%E +2.17%K +6.43%G +0.211%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -17.84%E -6.86%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 20:54
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.19%E -1.53%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.94%E -3.49%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 20:55
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -2.87%E -2.02%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.68%E -5.44%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 20:55
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:55
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:55
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:55
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:55
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:54
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:55
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:55
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 20:55
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 20:54
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:55
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.10%E -4.76%K -7.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 20:54
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.61%E -4.07%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 20:55
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.61%E -4.07%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.61%E -4.07%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 20:55
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.61%E -4.07%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 20:55
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.61%E -4.07%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 20:55
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.29%E -4.59%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.03%E -0.656%K -0.969%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 20:55
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.29%E -4.59%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.61%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 20:54
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.29%E -4.59%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.61%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 20:55
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 20:54
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 20:54
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 20:54
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 20:55
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 20:55
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.94%E -3.49%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.52%E -4.11%K -6.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 20:54
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -9.03%E -6.79%K -27.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 20:54
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -9.71%E -7.36%K -30.36%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV +5.55%E +1.66%K +2.37%G +0.132%5.7%2026-03-19 20:55
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +7.45%E +2.19%K +3.10%G +0.231%6.3%2026-03-19 20:53
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +4.29%E +1.30%K +1.86%G +0.080%7.2%2026-03-19 20:54
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV +2.71%E +0.832%K +1.20%G +0.033%7.7%2026-03-19 20:55
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +1.13%E +0.352%K +0.511%G +0.006%8.2%2026-03-19 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -12.45%E -9.73%K -44.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +13.77%E +3.82%K +5.29%G +0.729%5.9%2026-03-19 20:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-03-19 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-03-19 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-19 20:55
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-03-19 20:54
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-03-19 20:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%3.2%2026-03-19 20:55
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 71.24%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.76%6.3%2026-03-19 20:55