A Escola das Odds

Martin Damm Jr. v Jacob Fearnley

Início: 2026-03-19 21:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Martin Damm Jr. (Local)

Previsão 68.40%1.46odd justa
EV +46.37%
Vantagem +21.67%
Kelly +40.68%
Crescimento +18.86%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.41%64.54%68.65%73.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.281.591.402.1478.13%62.84%71.43%46.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jacob Fearnley (Visitante)

Previsão 31.60%3.16odd justa
EV +13.77%
Vantagem +3.82%
Kelly +5.29%
Crescimento +0.729%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.23%35.46%31.35%54.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.702.602.953.6058.82%38.49%33.90%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV +46.37%E +21.67%K +40.68%G +18.86%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -43.75%E -24.58%K -56.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 20:40
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +43.64%E +20.78%K +39.67%G +17.31%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -44.07%E -24.90%K -57.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 19:30
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +43.64%E +20.78%K +39.67%G +17.31%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -44.07%E -24.90%K -57.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 19:30
Unibet (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV +42.27%E +20.32%K +39.14%G +16.54%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -44.38%E -25.22%K -58.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:30
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +40.22%E +19.62%K +38.30%G +15.40%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -44.70%E -25.54%K -59.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:44
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +40.22%E +19.62%K +38.30%G +15.40%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -44.70%E -25.54%K -59.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:45
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV +40.22%E +19.62%K +38.30%G +15.40%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -45.65%E -26.54%K -63.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 20:35
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV +39.53%E +19.38%K +38.01%G +15.03%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -43.12%E -23.95%K -53.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 19:30
ReBet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV +38.85%E +19.14%K +37.72%G +14.65%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -43.12%E -23.95%K -53.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:29
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +38.16%E +18.89%K +37.42%G +14.28%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -42.49%E -23.34%K -51.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 20:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +36.80%E +18.40%K +36.80%G +13.54%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -43.12%E -23.95%K -53.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 19:30
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +36.80%E +18.40%K +36.80%G +13.54%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -44.07%E -24.90%K -57.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 20:10
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV +36.80%E +18.40%K +36.80%G +13.54%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -45.65%E -26.54%K -63.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:44
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV +36.80%E +18.40%K +36.80%G +13.54%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -46.28%E -27.22%K -66.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 19:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV +36.11%E +18.15%K +36.48%G +13.17%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -43.12%E -23.95%K -53.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 20:29
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV +34.74%E +17.64%K +35.82%G +12.45%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -42.49%E -23.34%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 19:29
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +33.38%E +17.12%K +35.13%G +11.73%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -43.12%E -23.95%K -53.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 19:30
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV +32.69%E +16.85%K +34.78%G +11.37%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -40.90%E -21.87%K -47.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 20:14
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV +3.28%E +2.17%K +6.43%G +0.211%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -17.84%E -6.86%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 20:54
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.19%E -1.53%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.94%E -3.49%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 20:55
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -2.87%E -2.02%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.68%E -5.44%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 20:55
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:55
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:55
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:55
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:55
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:54
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:55
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 20:55
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 20:55
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 20:54
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:55
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.10%E -4.76%K -7.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 20:54
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.61%E -4.07%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 20:55
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.61%E -4.07%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.61%E -4.07%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 20:55
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.61%E -4.07%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 20:55
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.61%E -4.07%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 20:55
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.29%E -4.59%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.03%E -0.656%K -0.969%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 20:55
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.29%E -4.59%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.61%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 20:54
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.29%E -4.59%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.61%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 20:55
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 20:54
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 20:54
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 20:54
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 20:55
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 20:55
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.94%E -3.49%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.52%E -4.11%K -6.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 20:54
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -9.03%E -6.79%K -27.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 20:54
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -9.71%E -7.36%K -30.36%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV +5.55%E +1.66%K +2.37%G +0.132%5.7%2026-03-19 20:55
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +7.45%E +2.19%K +3.10%G +0.231%6.3%2026-03-19 20:53
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +4.29%E +1.30%K +1.86%G +0.080%7.2%2026-03-19 20:54
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV +2.71%E +0.832%K +1.20%G +0.033%7.7%2026-03-19 20:55
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +1.13%E +0.352%K +0.511%G +0.006%8.2%2026-03-19 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -12.45%E -9.73%K -44.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +13.77%E +3.82%K +5.29%G +0.729%5.9%2026-03-19 20:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-03-19 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-03-19 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-19 20:55
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-03-19 20:54
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-03-19 20:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%3.2%2026-03-19 20:55
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 71.24%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.76%6.3%2026-03-19 20:55