La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Martin Damm Jr. v Jacob Fearnley
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Martin Damm Jr. (Local)
Predicción 68.40%1.46momio equitativo
EV +46.37%
Ventaja +21.67%
Kelly +40.68%
Crecimiento +18.86%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.41%64.54%68.65%73.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.591.402.1478.13%62.84%71.43%46.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jacob Fearnley (Visitante)
Predicción 31.60%3.16momio equitativo
EV +13.77%
Ventaja +3.82%
Kelly +5.29%
Crecimiento +0.729%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.23%35.46%31.35%54.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.702.602.953.6058.82%38.49%33.90%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV +46.37%E +21.67%K +40.68%G +18.86% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -43.75%E -24.58%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +43.64%E +20.78%K +39.67%G +17.31% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -44.07%E -24.90%K -57.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +43.64%E +20.78%K +39.67%G +17.31% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -44.07%E -24.90%K -57.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV +42.27%E +20.32%K +39.14%G +16.54% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -44.38%E -25.22%K -58.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +40.22%E +19.62%K +38.30%G +15.40% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -44.70%E -25.54%K -59.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 20:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +40.22%E +19.62%K +38.30%G +15.40% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -44.70%E -25.54%K -59.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 20:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV +40.22%E +19.62%K +38.30%G +15.40% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -45.65%E -26.54%K -63.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 20:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV +39.53%E +19.38%K +38.01%G +15.03% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -43.12%E -23.95%K -53.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| ReBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV +38.85%E +19.14%K +37.72%G +14.65% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -43.12%E -23.95%K -53.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +38.16%E +18.89%K +37.42%G +14.28% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -42.49%E -23.34%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 20:35 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +36.80%E +18.40%K +36.80%G +13.54% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -43.12%E -23.95%K -53.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +36.80%E +18.40%K +36.80%G +13.54% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -44.07%E -24.90%K -57.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 20:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV +36.80%E +18.40%K +36.80%G +13.54% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -45.65%E -26.54%K -63.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 19:44 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV +36.80%E +18.40%K +36.80%G +13.54% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -46.28%E -27.22%K -66.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV +36.11%E +18.15%K +36.48%G +13.17% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -43.12%E -23.95%K -53.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 20:29 |
| Bally Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV +34.74%E +17.64%K +35.82%G +12.45% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -42.49%E -23.34%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 19:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +33.38%E +17.12%K +35.13%G +11.73% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -43.12%E -23.95%K -53.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| GTbets | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV +32.69%E +16.85%K +34.78%G +11.37% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -40.90%E -21.87%K -47.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 20:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV +3.28%E +2.17%K +6.43%G +0.211% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -17.84%E -6.86%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| Unibet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.19%E -1.53%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.94%E -3.49%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -2.87%E -2.02%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.68%E -5.44%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.10%E -4.76%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.61%E -4.07%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.61%E -4.07%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.61%E -4.07%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.61%E -4.07%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.61%E -4.07%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.29%E -4.59%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.03%E -0.656%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.29%E -4.59%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.61%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.29%E -4.59%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.61%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| Caesars | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.20%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.36%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.94%E -3.49%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.52%E -4.11%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| Fliff | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -9.03%E -6.79%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -6.78%E -2.30%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -9.71%E -7.36%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV +5.55%E +1.66%K +2.37%G +0.132% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +7.45%E +2.19%K +3.10%G +0.231% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 20:53 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +4.29%E +1.30%K +1.86%G +0.080% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV +2.71%E +0.832%K +1.20%G +0.033% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +1.13%E +0.352%K +0.511%G +0.006% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -12.45%E -9.73%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +13.77%E +3.82%K +5.29%G +0.729% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 0.2% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| ProphetX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Novig | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.24% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.76% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |