Język:Polski
Mariano Navone v Valentin Vacherot
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Mariano Navone (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 33.76%2.96kurs godziwy
EV +2.30%
Przewaga +0.758%
Kelly +1.13%
Wzrost +0.026%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.03
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
31.51%33.67%33.81%35.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.632.792.773.0338.02%35.87%36.04%33.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Valentin Vacherot (Goście)
Prognoza 66.24%1.51kurs godziwy
EV -1.30%
Przewaga -0.875%
Kelly -2.66%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.49
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
64.44%66.33%66.19%68.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.49%69.44%67.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Mariano Navone (Gospodarze): 33.76%; Valentin Vacherot (Goście): 66.24%. Dla wyniku Mariano Navone (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.96. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.03, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.30%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV +2.30%E +0.758%K +1.13%G +0.026% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +1.28%E +0.428%K +0.642%G +0.008% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.59%E -6.22%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.08%E -0.369%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.08%E -0.369%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -1.42%E -0.486%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 01:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -1.42%E -0.486%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 01:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 01:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 01:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.92%E -7.29%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.77%E -0.961%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.77%E -0.961%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.12%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 00:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.79%E -1.70%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 00:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.79%E -1.70%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 01:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 01:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 01:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 00:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 08:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 06:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 06:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 06:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 06:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 01:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 01:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -7.49%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 01:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -1.30%E -0.875%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.97%E -1.33%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 14:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.53%E -3.97%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 21:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 14:54 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 01:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 01:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 01:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.66% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.34% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 01:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 2.8% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |