Die Wettquotenschule

Mariano Navone v Valentin Vacherot

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-21 02:20 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Mariano Navone (Heim)

Prognose 33.76%2.96faire Quote
EV +2.30%
Vorteil +0.758%
Kelly +1.13%
Wachstum +0.026%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.03

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.51%33.67%33.81%35.56%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.632.792.773.0338.02%35.87%36.04%33.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Valentin Vacherot (Auswärts)

Prognose 66.24%1.51faire Quote
EV -1.30%
Vorteil -0.875%
Kelly -2.66%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.49

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
64.44%66.33%66.19%68.49%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.49%69.44%67.11%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV +2.30%E +0.758%K +1.13%G +0.026%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 01:05
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +1.28%E +0.428%K +0.642%G +0.008%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.59%E -6.22%K -22.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 01:30
LowVig.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.08%E -0.369%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 00:55
BetOnline.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.08%E -0.369%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 00:55
1xBet2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -1.42%E -0.486%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 01:10
DraftKings2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -1.42%E -0.486%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 01:25
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 01:30
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 01:34
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 01:14
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 01:30
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.92%E -7.29%K -27.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 00:55
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.77%E -0.961%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 01:45
Bet Right2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.77%E -0.961%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:45
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 01:05
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 01:45
FanDuel2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.12%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 00:44
SportsBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.79%E -1.70%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 00:45
Unibet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.79%E -1.70%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 01:44
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 01:30
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 01:30
NordicBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 01:30
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 01:35
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 01:30
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:44
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 01:35
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 01:30
Fliff2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 01:45
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 00:44
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 00:50
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 08:40
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 06:39
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 06:40
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 06:39
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 06:40
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 01:30
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 01:44
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 01:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 01:30
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 01:30
GTbets2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -7.49%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 01:10
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -1.30%E -0.875%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 21:05
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.97%E -1.33%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 14:54
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:55
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:55
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:55
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:55
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:54
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:55
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:55
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:55
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:55
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:55
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:55
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:55
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:54
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.53%E -3.97%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 21:34
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 14:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-21 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-21 01:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-21 01:25
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-21 01:10
ProphetX3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%1.8%2026-03-21 01:25
Novig2.99I 33.44%NM 32.66%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.34%2.4%2026-03-21 01:44
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%2.8%2026-03-21 01:45