L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Mariano Navone v Valentin Vacherot
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Mariano Navone (Local)
Prévision 33.76%2.96cote équitable
EV +2.30%
Avantage +0.758%
Kelly +1.13%
Croissance +0.026%
avec la cote maximale 3.03
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.51%33.67%33.81%35.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.792.773.0338.02%35.87%36.04%33.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Valentin Vacherot (Visiteur)
Prévision 66.24%1.51cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.875%
Kelly -2.66%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.49
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.44%66.33%66.19%68.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.49%69.44%67.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV +2.30%E +0.758%K +1.13%G +0.026% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +1.28%E +0.428%K +0.642%G +0.008% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.59%E -6.22%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.08%E -0.369%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.08%E -0.369%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -1.42%E -0.486%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 01:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -1.42%E -0.486%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 01:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| Bovada | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 01:34 |
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 01:14 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.92%E -7.29%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.77%E -0.961%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.77%E -0.961%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.12%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 00:44 |
| SportsBet | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.79%E -1.70%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 00:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.79%E -1.70%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 01:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| Betsson | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| ReBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 01:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:44 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 01:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| Fliff | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 00:44 |
| TAB | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 08:40 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 06:39 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 06:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 06:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 06:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 01:44 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 01:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| GTbets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -7.49%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 01:10 |
| BetAnything | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -1.30%E -0.875%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.97%E -1.33%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 14:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:54 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| Bally Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:54 |
| Caesars | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.53%E -3.97%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 21:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 14:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 01:25 |
| Matchbook | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 01:10 |
| ProphetX | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 01:25 |
| Novig | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.66% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.34% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 01:44 |
| Smarkets | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 2.8% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |