مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Mariano Navone v Valentin Vacherot
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Mariano Navone (المضيف)
التنبؤ 33.76%2.96السعر العادل
EV +2.30%
الأفضلية +0.758%
Kelly +1.13%
النمو +0.026%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.03
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.51%33.67%33.81%35.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.632.792.773.0338.02%35.87%36.04%33.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Valentin Vacherot (الضيف)
التنبؤ 66.24%1.51السعر العادل
EV -1.30%
الأفضلية -0.875%
Kelly -2.66%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.49
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
64.44%66.33%66.19%68.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.49%69.44%67.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV +2.30%E +0.758%K +1.13%G +0.026% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +1.28%E +0.428%K +0.642%G +0.008% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.59%E -6.22%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.08%E -0.369%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.08%E -0.369%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -1.42%E -0.486%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 01:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -1.42%E -0.486%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 01:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| Bovada | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 01:34 |
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 01:14 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -2.09%E -0.722%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.92%E -7.29%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.77%E -0.961%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.77%E -0.961%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.12%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 00:44 |
| SportsBet | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.79%E -1.70%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 00:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.79%E -1.70%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 01:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| Betsson | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| ReBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 01:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:44 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 01:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.28%E -3.69%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| Fliff | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 00:44 |
| TAB | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 08:40 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 06:39 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 06:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 06:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 06:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.94%E -4.18%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 01:44 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 01:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 01:30 |
| GTbets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -7.49%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -3.29%E -2.25%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 01:10 |
| BetAnything | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -1.30%E -0.875%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.97%E -1.33%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 14:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:54 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| Bally Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.63%E -1.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:54 |
| Caesars | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.53%E -3.97%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 21:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -3.95%E -2.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 14:54 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (7)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 01:25 |
| Matchbook | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 01:10 |
| ProphetX | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 01:25 |
| Novig | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.66% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.34% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 01:44 |
| Smarkets | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 2.8% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |