Language:English
Marcos Giron v Martin Landaluce
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marcos Giron (Local)
Prediction 62.09%1.61fair odd
EV +0.587%
Edge +0.362%
Kelly +0.947%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%61.93%62.13%64.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.531.531.6267.57%65.24%65.36%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Martin Landaluce (Visit)
Prediction 37.91%2.64fair odd
EV +2.36%
Edge +0.872%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.87%38.07%37.87%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.492.512.7043.48%40.19%39.76%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marcos Giron (Local): 62.09%; Martin Landaluce (Visit): 37.91%. For Martin Landaluce (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV +2.36%E +0.872%K +1.39%G +0.033% | 3.3% | 2026-03-19 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -8.11%E -5.48%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV +0.080%E +0.030%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-18 11:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.62%E -3.70%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-18 11:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.62%E -3.70%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-18 11:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 11:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 11:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 11:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 11:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 11:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 11:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 11:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 11:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 11:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 11:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 11:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 11:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.71%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.52%E -1.60%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -4.09%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.52%E -1.60%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -4.09%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.62%E -3.70%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.09%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.47%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 16:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -1.28%E -0.802%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -4.85%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-19 15:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.14%E -2.01%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-18 13:08 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -5.99%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-18 11:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -6.74%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 16:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -6.74%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 14:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.52%E -1.60%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 14:06 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.38%E -2.84%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -8.26%E -3.41%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 15:28 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -10.16%E -4.28%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 06:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -10.16%E -4.28%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 06:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.91%E -4.64%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 09:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.91%E -4.64%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 13:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +0.587%E +0.362%K +0.947%G +0.006% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 23:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -0.034%E -0.021%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-18 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -0.034%E -0.021%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-18 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -0.034%E -0.021%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-18 23:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 16:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 16:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 16:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41% | 2.4% | 2026-03-19 16:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.89% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.11% | 10.2% | 2026-03-19 16:15 |