L’École des cotes

Marcos Giron v Martin Landaluce

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 16:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Marcos Giron (Local)

Prévision 62.09%1.61cote équitable
EV +0.587%
Avantage +0.362%
Kelly +0.947%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.67%61.93%62.13%64.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.531.531.6267.57%65.24%65.36%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Martin Landaluce (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.91%2.64cote équitable
EV +2.36%
Avantage +0.872%
Kelly +1.39%
Croissance +0.033%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.87%38.07%37.87%41.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.492.512.7043.48%40.19%39.76%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV +2.36%E +0.872%K +1.39%G +0.033%3.3%2026-03-19 16:15
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -8.11%E -5.48%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV +0.080%E +0.030%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:09
Betsson1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:14
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 14:09
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:14
NordicBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:14
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:14
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 11:34
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.62%E -3.70%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 11:34
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.62%E -3.70%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 11:35
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:35
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:35
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:35
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.71%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 16:14
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.52%E -1.60%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -4.09%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 16:00
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.52%E -1.60%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -4.09%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.62%E -3.70%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.09%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:14
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.47%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:15
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -1.28%E -0.802%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -4.85%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-19 15:40
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.14%E -2.01%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 16:00
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:15
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 14:10
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 14:09
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 13:08
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -5.99%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 11:35
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -6.74%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 16:04
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -6.74%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 14:19
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.52%E -1.60%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 14:06
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:09
Betr (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.38%E -2.84%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 14:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 16:14
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:09
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -8.26%E -3.41%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 15:30
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 15:28
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 15:29
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -10.16%E -4.28%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 06:10
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -10.16%E -4.28%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 06:10
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.91%E -4.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 09:59
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.91%E -4.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 13:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +0.587%E +0.362%K +0.947%G +0.006%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 23:20
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -0.034%E -0.021%K -0.056%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 23:15
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -0.034%E -0.021%K -0.056%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 23:15
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -0.034%E -0.021%K -0.056%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 23:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-03-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-03-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-03-19 16:15
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-03-19 16:15
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-03-19 16:15
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%2.4%2026-03-19 16:15
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 60.89%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.11%10.2%2026-03-19 16:15