La scuola delle quote

Marcos Giron v Martin Landaluce

Inizio: 2026-03-19 16:20 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Marcos Giron (Casa)

Previsione 62.09%1.61quota equa
EV +0.587%
Vantaggio +0.362%
Kelly +0.947%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.67%61.93%62.13%64.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.531.531.6267.57%65.24%65.36%61.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Martin Landaluce (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.91%2.64quota equa
EV +2.36%
Vantaggio +0.872%
Kelly +1.39%
Crescita +0.033%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.87%38.07%37.87%41.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.492.512.7043.48%40.19%39.76%37.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV +2.36%E +0.872%K +1.39%G +0.033%3.3%2026-03-19 16:15
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -8.11%E -5.48%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV +0.080%E +0.030%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:09
Betsson1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:14
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 14:09
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:14
NordicBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:14
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:14
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 11:34
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.62%E -3.70%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 11:34
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.62%E -3.70%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 11:35
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:35
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:35
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:35
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.71%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 16:14
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.52%E -1.60%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -4.09%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 16:00
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.52%E -1.60%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -4.09%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.62%E -3.70%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.09%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:14
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.47%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:15
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -1.28%E -0.802%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -4.85%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-19 15:40
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.14%E -2.01%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 16:00
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:15
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 14:10
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 14:09
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 13:08
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -5.99%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 11:35
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -6.74%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 16:04
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -6.74%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 14:19
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.52%E -1.60%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 14:06
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:09
Betr (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.38%E -2.84%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 14:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 16:14
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:09
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -8.26%E -3.41%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 15:30
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 15:28
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 15:29
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -10.16%E -4.28%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 06:10
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -10.16%E -4.28%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 06:10
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.91%E -4.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 09:59
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.91%E -4.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 13:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +0.587%E +0.362%K +0.947%G +0.006%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 23:20
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -0.034%E -0.021%K -0.056%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 23:15
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -0.034%E -0.021%K -0.056%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 23:15
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -0.034%E -0.021%K -0.056%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 23:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-03-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-03-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-03-19 16:15
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-03-19 16:15
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-03-19 16:15
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%2.4%2026-03-19 16:15
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 60.89%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.11%10.2%2026-03-19 16:15