مدرسة الاحتمالات

Marcos Giron v Martin Landaluce

البداية: 2026-03-19 16:20 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Marcos Giron (المضيف)

التنبؤ 62.09%1.61السعر العادل
EV +0.587%
الأفضلية +0.362%
Kelly +0.947%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.67%61.93%62.13%64.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.481.531.531.6267.57%65.24%65.36%61.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Martin Landaluce (الضيف)

التنبؤ 37.91%2.64السعر العادل
EV +2.36%
الأفضلية +0.872%
Kelly +1.39%
النمو +0.033%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.87%38.07%37.87%41.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.492.512.7043.48%40.19%39.76%37.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV +2.36%E +0.872%K +1.39%G +0.033%3.3%2026-03-19 16:15
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -8.11%E -5.48%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV +0.080%E +0.030%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:09
Betsson1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:14
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 14:09
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:14
NordicBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:14
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:14
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 11:34
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.62%E -3.70%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 11:34
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.62%E -3.70%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 11:35
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:35
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:35
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:34
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.24%E -4.13%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 11:35
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.71%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 16:14
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.52%E -1.60%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -4.09%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 16:00
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.52%E -1.60%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -4.09%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.62%E -3.70%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.09%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:14
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.47%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:15
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -1.28%E -0.802%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -4.85%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-19 15:40
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.14%E -2.01%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 16:00
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:15
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 14:10
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 14:09
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 13:08
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -5.99%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 11:35
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -6.74%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 16:04
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -6.74%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 14:19
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.52%E -1.60%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 14:06
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:09
Betr (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.38%E -2.84%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 14:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 16:14
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:09
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -8.26%E -3.41%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 15:30
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 15:28
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 15:29
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.86%E -4.58%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -10.16%E -4.28%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 06:10
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -10.16%E -4.28%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 06:10
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.91%E -4.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 09:59
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.00%E -3.27%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.91%E -4.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 13:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +0.587%E +0.362%K +0.947%G +0.006%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 23:20
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -0.034%E -0.021%K -0.056%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 23:15
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -0.034%E -0.021%K -0.056%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 23:15
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -0.034%E -0.021%K -0.056%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 23:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-03-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-03-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-03-19 16:15
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-03-19 16:15
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-03-19 16:15
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%2.4%2026-03-19 16:15
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 60.89%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.11%10.2%2026-03-19 16:15