Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kamil Majchrzak v Miomir Kecmanovic

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 21:50 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kamil Majchrzak (Local)

Prediction 36.88%2.71fair odd
EV -0.416%
Edge -0.154%
Kelly -0.245%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.47%37.00%36.71%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.552.542.7041.67%39.18%39.45%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miomir Kecmanovic (Visit)

Prediction 63.12%1.58fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -5.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.54%63.00%63.29%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.501.5469.44%66.32%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kamil Majchrzak (Local): 36.88%; Miomir Kecmanovic (Visit): 63.12%. For Kamil Majchrzak (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -0.416%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.416%E -0.154%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.416%E -0.154%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 21:44
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.26%E -0.853%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 21:44
FanDuel🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -2.63%E -0.996%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 21:45
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -2.80%E -1.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 21:45
SportsBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:45
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 21:39
GTbets🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 21:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 21:45
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 21:43
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:45
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:45
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:45
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:45
ReBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:43
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 21:45
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 21:45
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.06%E -2.67%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:45
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 21:44
DraftKings🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -7.05%E -2.80%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -7.05%E -2.80%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -4.06%E -2.67%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 21:44
NetBet (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -7.05%E -2.80%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.16%EV -7.22%E -4.91%K -15.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 21:43
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:44
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:44
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:42
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:44
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.06%E -2.67%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 21:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 21:44
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 21:45
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 21:45
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 21:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.64%E -3.93%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 21:45
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 21:43
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 21:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-03-19 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-19 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-19 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-19 21:45
ProphetX2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%0.7%2026-03-19 21:45
Novig2.69I 37.17%NM 36.56%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.44%1.7%2026-03-19 21:44
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.1%2026-03-19 21:45