L’École des cotes

Kamil Majchrzak v Miomir Kecmanovic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 21:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kamil Majchrzak (Local)

Prévision 36.88%2.71cote équitable
EV -0.416%
Avantage -0.154%
Kelly -0.245%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.47%37.00%36.71%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.552.542.7041.67%39.18%39.45%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miomir Kecmanovic (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.12%1.58cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -5.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.54%63.00%63.29%64.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.511.501.5469.44%66.32%66.67%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.416%E -0.154%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 21:45
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.416%E -0.154%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 21:44
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.26%E -0.853%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 21:44
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -2.63%E -0.996%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 21:45
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -2.80%E -1.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 21:45
SportsBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:45
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 21:39
GTbets2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 21:44
PMU (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 21:45
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 21:43
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:45
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:45
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:45
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:45
ReBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:43
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 21:45
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 21:45
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.06%E -2.67%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:45
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 21:44
DraftKings2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -7.05%E -2.80%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:44
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -7.05%E -2.80%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -4.06%E -2.67%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 21:44
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -7.05%E -2.80%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.16%EV -7.22%E -4.91%K -15.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 21:43
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:44
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:44
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:44
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:42
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:44
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.06%E -2.67%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 21:44
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 21:44
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 21:45
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 21:45
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 21:44
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.64%E -3.93%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 21:45
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 21:43
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 21:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-03-19 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-19 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-19 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-19 21:45
ProphetX2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%0.7%2026-03-19 21:45
Novig2.69I 37.17%NM 36.56%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.44%1.7%2026-03-19 21:44
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.1%2026-03-19 21:45