La escuela de los momios

Kamil Majchrzak v Miomir Kecmanovic

Inicio: 2026-03-19 21:50 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kamil Majchrzak (Local)

Predicción 36.88%2.71momio equitativo
EV -0.416%
Ventaja -0.154%
Kelly -0.245%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.47%37.00%36.71%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.552.542.7041.67%39.18%39.45%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Miomir Kecmanovic (Visitante)

Predicción 63.12%1.58momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -1.82%
Kelly -5.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.54%63.00%63.29%64.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.511.501.5469.44%66.32%66.67%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.416%E -0.154%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 21:45
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.416%E -0.154%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 21:44
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.26%E -0.853%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 21:44
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -2.63%E -0.996%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 21:45
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -2.80%E -1.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 21:45
SportsBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:45
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 21:39
GTbets2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 21:44
PMU (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 21:45
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 21:43
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:45
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:45
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:45
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:45
ReBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:43
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 21:45
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 21:45
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.06%E -2.67%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:45
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 21:44
DraftKings2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -7.05%E -2.80%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:44
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -7.05%E -2.80%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -4.06%E -2.67%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 21:44
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -7.05%E -2.80%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.16%EV -7.22%E -4.91%K -15.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 21:43
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:44
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:44
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:44
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:42
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:44
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.06%E -2.67%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 21:44
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 21:44
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 21:45
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 21:45
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 21:44
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.64%E -3.93%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 21:45
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 21:43
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 21:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-03-19 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-19 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-19 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-19 21:45
ProphetX2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%0.7%2026-03-19 21:45
Novig2.69I 37.17%NM 36.56%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.44%1.7%2026-03-19 21:44
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.1%2026-03-19 21:45