A Escola das Odds

Kamil Majchrzak v Miomir Kecmanovic

Início: 2026-03-19 21:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Kamil Majchrzak (Local)

Previsão 36.88%2.71odd justa
EV -0.416%
Vantagem -0.154%
Kelly -0.245%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.47%37.00%36.71%38.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.552.542.7041.67%39.18%39.45%37.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miomir Kecmanovic (Visitante)

Previsão 63.12%1.58odd justa
EV -2.80%
Vantagem -1.82%
Kelly -5.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.54%63.00%63.29%64.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.441.511.501.5469.44%66.32%66.67%64.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.416%E -0.154%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 21:45
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.416%E -0.154%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 21:44
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.26%E -0.853%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 21:44
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -2.63%E -0.996%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 21:45
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -2.80%E -1.82%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 21:45
SportsBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:45
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 21:39
GTbets2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 21:44
PMU (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 21:45
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 21:43
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:45
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:45
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:45
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:45
ReBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:43
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 21:45
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 21:45
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.06%E -2.67%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:45
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 21:44
DraftKings2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -7.05%E -2.80%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:44
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -7.05%E -2.80%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -4.06%E -2.67%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 21:44
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -7.05%E -2.80%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.16%EV -7.22%E -4.91%K -15.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 21:43
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:44
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:44
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:44
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:42
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:45
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 21:44
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.06%E -2.67%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 21:44
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 21:44
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 21:45
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 21:45
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 21:44
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.64%E -3.93%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 21:45
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 21:43
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 21:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-03-19 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-19 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-19 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-19 21:45
ProphetX2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%0.7%2026-03-19 21:45
Novig2.69I 37.17%NM 36.56%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.44%1.7%2026-03-19 21:44
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.1%2026-03-19 21:45