Language:English
Jiri Lehecka v Jannik Sinner
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Prediction 8.99%11.13fair odd
EV +25.54%
Edge +1.83%
Kelly +1.97%
Growth +0.503%
assuming max odds 13.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.99%9.18%8.71%13.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.8010.5311.0013.9714.71%9.50%9.09%7.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jannik Sinner (Visit)
Prediction 91.01%1.10fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -3.33%
Kelly -58.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.85%90.82%91.29%93.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.041.041.0697.09%95.89%96.15%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 8.99%; Jannik Sinner (Visit): 91.01%. For Jiri Lehecka (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.13. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.97, corresponding to a positive expected value of +25.54%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 13.97I 7.16%NM 6.99%EV +25.54%E +1.83%K +1.97%G +0.503% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.01%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 12.80I 7.81%NM 7.45%EV +15.02%E +1.17%K +1.27%G +0.191% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.55%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +7.84%E +0.653%K +0.712%G +0.056% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +7.84%E +0.653%K +0.712%G +0.056% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +7.84%E +0.653%K +0.712%G +0.056% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-28 02:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +7.84%E +0.653%K +0.712%G +0.056% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 11.80I 8.47%NM 8.24%EV +6.04%E +0.512%K +0.559%G +0.034% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.76%EV -3.53%E -3.33%K -58.76%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.54%EV +1.10%E +0.097%K +0.107%G +0.001% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.46%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 11.16I 8.96%NM 8.67%EV +0.287%E +0.026%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.33%EV -3.53%E -3.33%K -58.76%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 10.90I 9.17%NM 8.63%EV -2.05%E -0.188%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.37%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -5.64%E -0.538%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-28 01:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -7.89%E -0.770%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -10.14%E -1.01%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -10.14%E -1.01%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.63%E -1.54%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -19.12%E -2.12%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.53%E -3.33%K -58.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -19.12%E -2.12%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-28 02:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -19.12%E -2.12%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -19.12%E -2.12%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-28 02:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -19.12%E -2.12%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -28.11%E -3.51%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.94%EV -31.70%E -4.17%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.06%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -32.60%E -4.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.92%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.15%EV -38.89%E -5.72%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.85%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-28 01:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.15%EV -38.89%E -5.72%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.85%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72% | 1.7% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72% | 1.7% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |