Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jiri Lehecka v Jannik Sinner

Início: 2026-03-29 17:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Previsão 8.99%11.13odd justa
EV +25.54%
Vantagem +1.83%
Kelly +1.97%
Crescimento +0.503%

pressupondo odds máximas de 13.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.99%9.18%8.71%13.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.8010.5311.0013.9714.71%9.50%9.09%7.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jannik Sinner (Visitante)

Previsão 91.01%1.10odd justa
EV -3.53%
Vantagem -3.33%
Kelly -58.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
86.85%90.82%91.29%93.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.031.041.041.0697.09%95.89%96.15%94.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 8.99%; Jannik Sinner (Visitante): 91.01%. Para Jiri Lehecka (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 11.13. 9 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 13.97, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +25.54%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯13.97I 7.16%NM 6.99%EV +25.54%E +1.83%K +1.97%G +0.503%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.01%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 02:25
DraftKings🎯12.80I 7.81%NM 7.45%EV +15.02%E +1.17%K +1.27%G +0.191%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.55%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 01:50
BetOnline.ag🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +7.84%E +0.653%K +0.712%G +0.056%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-28 03:00
LowVig.ag🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +7.84%E +0.653%K +0.712%G +0.056%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-28 03:00
Bovada🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +7.84%E +0.653%K +0.712%G +0.056%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 02:04
Betway🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +7.84%E +0.653%K +0.712%G +0.056%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:50
1xBet🎯11.80I 8.47%NM 8.24%EV +6.04%E +0.512%K +0.559%G +0.034%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.76%EV -3.53%E -3.33%K -58.76%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-28 02:50
Marathon Bet🎯11.25I 8.89%NM 8.54%EV +1.10%E +0.097%K +0.107%G +0.001%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.46%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 02:35
GTbets🎯11.16I 8.96%NM 8.67%EV +0.287%E +0.026%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.33%EV -3.53%E -3.33%K -58.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-28 01:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:40
Betsson🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:40
Coral🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:39
NordicBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:40
BetMGM🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:50
Paddy Power🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:10
FanDuel🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:10
Bet Right🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:55
Grosvenor🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:50
Unibet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:50
Unibet (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:45
Unibet (NL)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:45
Casumo🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:45
TABtouch🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:45
LeoVegas🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:45
BetRivers🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:45
LiveScore Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:45
Bally Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:50
Svenska Spel🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:50
betPARX🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:50
ATG (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:45
Fliff🎯10.90I 9.17%NM 8.63%EV -2.05%E -0.188%K -0.207%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.37%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-28 02:30
Winamax (DE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -5.64%E -0.538%K -0.594%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-28 01:39
Betr (AU)🎯10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -7.89%E -0.770%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 01:50
Fanatics🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -10.14%E -1.01%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:40
PlayUp🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -10.14%E -1.01%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 02:25
Virgin Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.63%E -1.54%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-28 01:45
theScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -19.12%E -2.12%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.53%E -3.33%K -58.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-28 01:40
Caesars🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -19.12%E -2.12%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-28 02:44
Unibet (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -19.12%E -2.12%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 01:40
PMU (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -19.12%E -2.12%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 02:05
TAB🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -19.12%E -2.12%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 02:50
Bet Victor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -28.11%E -3.51%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-28 01:50
ReBet🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 11.94%EV -31.70%E -4.17%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 88.06%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-28 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -32.60%E -4.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 87.92%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-28 01:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.15%EV -38.89%E -5.72%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 86.85%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-28 01:39
Unibet (FR)🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.15%EV -38.89%E -5.72%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 86.85%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-28 01:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-03-28 02:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-03-28 02:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-03-28 02:35
Smarkets13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72%1.7%2026-03-28 02:50
Matchbook13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72%1.7%2026-03-28 03:05