StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jiri Lehecka v Jannik Sinner

Matchstart: 2026-03-29 17:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jiri Lehecka (Hemma)

Prognos 8.99%11.13rättvist odds
EV +25.54%
Fördel +1.83%
Kelly +1.97%
Tillväxt +0.503%

med antagandet om högsta odds 13.97

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
6.99%9.18%8.71%13.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
6.8010.5311.0013.9714.71%9.50%9.09%7.16%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jannik Sinner (Borta)

Prognos 91.01%1.10rättvist odds
EV -3.53%
Fördel -3.33%
Kelly -58.76%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.06

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
86.85%90.82%91.29%93.01%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.031.041.041.0697.09%95.89%96.15%94.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jiri Lehecka (Hemma): 8.99%; Jannik Sinner (Borta): 91.01%. För Jiri Lehecka (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 11.13. 9 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 13.97, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +25.54%.

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯13.97I 7.16%NM 6.99%EV +25.54%E +1.83%K +1.97%G +0.503%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.01%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 02:25
DraftKings🎯12.80I 7.81%NM 7.45%EV +15.02%E +1.17%K +1.27%G +0.191%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.55%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 01:50
BetOnline.ag🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +7.84%E +0.653%K +0.712%G +0.056%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-28 03:00
LowVig.ag🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +7.84%E +0.653%K +0.712%G +0.056%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-28 03:00
Bovada🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +7.84%E +0.653%K +0.712%G +0.056%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 02:04
Betway🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +7.84%E +0.653%K +0.712%G +0.056%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:50
1xBet🎯11.80I 8.47%NM 8.24%EV +6.04%E +0.512%K +0.559%G +0.034%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.76%EV -3.53%E -3.33%K -58.76%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-28 02:50
Marathon Bet🎯11.25I 8.89%NM 8.54%EV +1.10%E +0.097%K +0.107%G +0.001%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.46%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 02:35
GTbets🎯11.16I 8.96%NM 8.67%EV +0.287%E +0.026%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.33%EV -3.53%E -3.33%K -58.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-28 01:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:40
Betsson🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:40
Coral🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:39
NordicBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:40
BetMGM🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:50
Paddy Power🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:10
FanDuel🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:10
Bet Right🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:55
Grosvenor🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:50
Unibet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:50
Unibet (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:45
Unibet (NL)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:45
Casumo🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:45
TABtouch🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:45
LeoVegas🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:45
BetRivers🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:45
LiveScore Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:45
Bally Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:50
Svenska Spel🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:50
betPARX🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:50
ATG (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:45
Fliff🎯10.90I 9.17%NM 8.63%EV -2.05%E -0.188%K -0.207%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.37%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-28 02:30
Winamax (DE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -5.64%E -0.538%K -0.594%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-28 01:39
Betr (AU)🎯10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -7.89%E -0.770%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 01:50
Fanatics🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -10.14%E -1.01%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:40
PlayUp🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -10.14%E -1.01%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 02:25
Virgin Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.63%E -1.54%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-28 01:45
theScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -19.12%E -2.12%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.53%E -3.33%K -58.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-28 01:40
Caesars🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -19.12%E -2.12%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-28 02:44
Unibet (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -19.12%E -2.12%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 01:40
PMU (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -19.12%E -2.12%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 02:05
TAB🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -19.12%E -2.12%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 02:50
Bet Victor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -28.11%E -3.51%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-28 01:50
ReBet🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 11.94%EV -31.70%E -4.17%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 88.06%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-28 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -32.60%E -4.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 87.92%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-28 01:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.15%EV -38.89%E -5.72%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 86.85%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-28 01:39
Unibet (FR)🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.15%EV -38.89%E -5.72%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 86.85%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-28 01:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-03-28 02:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-03-28 02:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-03-28 02:35
Smarkets13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72%1.7%2026-03-28 02:50
Matchbook13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72%1.7%2026-03-28 03:05