La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jiri Lehecka v Jannik Sinner
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Predicción 8.99%11.13momio equitativo
EV +25.54%
Ventaja +1.83%
Kelly +1.97%
Crecimiento +0.503%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.99%9.18%8.71%13.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.8010.5311.0013.9714.71%9.50%9.09%7.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jannik Sinner (Visitante)
Predicción 91.01%1.10momio equitativo
EV -3.53%
Ventaja -3.33%
Kelly -58.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.85%90.82%91.29%93.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.031.041.041.0697.09%95.89%96.15%94.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 13.97I 7.16%NM 6.99%EV +25.54%E +1.83%K +1.97%G +0.503% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.01%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| DraftKings | 12.80I 7.81%NM 7.45%EV +15.02%E +1.17%K +1.27%G +0.191% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.55%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +7.84%E +0.653%K +0.712%G +0.056% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +7.84%E +0.653%K +0.712%G +0.056% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Bovada | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +7.84%E +0.653%K +0.712%G +0.056% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-28 02:04 |
| Betway | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +7.84%E +0.653%K +0.712%G +0.056% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| 1xBet | 11.80I 8.47%NM 8.24%EV +6.04%E +0.512%K +0.559%G +0.034% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.76%EV -3.53%E -3.33%K -58.76%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.54%EV +1.10%E +0.097%K +0.107%G +0.001% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.46%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| GTbets | 11.16I 8.96%NM 8.67%EV +0.287%E +0.026%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.33%EV -3.53%E -3.33%K -58.76%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Betsson | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Coral | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:39 |
| NordicBet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| BetMGM | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Paddy Power | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| FanDuel | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Bet Right | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:55 |
| Grosvenor | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Unibet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| Casumo | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| TABtouch | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| LeoVegas | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| BetRivers | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| Bally Bet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| betPARX | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.15%E -0.105%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| Fliff | 10.90I 9.17%NM 8.63%EV -2.05%E -0.188%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.37%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -5.64%E -0.538%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-28 01:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -7.89%E -0.770%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Fanatics | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -10.14%E -1.01%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| PlayUp | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -10.14%E -1.01%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.63%E -1.54%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| theScore Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -19.12%E -2.12%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.53%E -3.33%K -58.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Caesars | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -19.12%E -2.12%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-28 02:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -19.12%E -2.12%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -19.12%E -2.12%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-28 02:05 |
| TAB | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -19.12%E -2.12%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.35%E -5.14%K -133.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Bet Victor | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -28.11%E -3.51%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.44%E -4.22%K -88.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| ReBet | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.94%EV -31.70%E -4.17%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.06%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -32.60%E -4.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.92%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.15%EV -38.89%E -5.72%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.85%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-28 01:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.15%EV -38.89%E -5.72%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.85%EV -6.26%E -6.07%K -208.53%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Smarkets | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72% | 1.7% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Matchbook | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72% | 1.7% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |