默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Ignacio Buse v Damir Dzumhur

开赛时间: 2026-03-19 19:45 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

52 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Ignacio Buse (主队)

预测 64.42%1.55公平赔率
EV -1.44%
优势 -0.939%
Kelly -2.71%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.53

博彩公司预测分布
62.03%64.33%64.34%65.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.431.471.471.5369.93%67.85%68.03%65.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

Damir Dzumhur (客队)

预测 35.58%2.81公平赔率
EV -0.378%
优势 -0.135%
Kelly -0.210%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.80

博彩公司预测分布
34.12%35.67%35.66%37.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.672.682.8040.00%37.52%37.31%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Ignacio Buse (主队):64.42%;Damir Dzumhur (客队):35.58%。 对于“Damir Dzumhur (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.81。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.80,期望值为-0.378%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.939%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 12:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.939%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 12:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.939%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 12:10
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.939%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 00:40
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%EV -1.09%E -0.392%K -0.612%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-19 17:39
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 19:34
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -6.07%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 19:40
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.45%E -0.522%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 19:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.45%E -0.522%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 19:35
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 17:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 19:19
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 19:40
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -5.36%E -2.01%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:30
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:29
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:19
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:39
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:29
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 17:29
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:30
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:19
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:19
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:19
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.95%E -4.07%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -6.43%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 19:19
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.95%E -4.07%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:29
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.378%E -0.135%K -0.210%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -1.09%E -0.392%K -0.612%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 17:30
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.16%E -0.784%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:30
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 17:30
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 16:40
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:29
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 19:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.69%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-03-19 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-03-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-03-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-03-19 19:30
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-03-19 19:30
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%2.0%2026-03-19 19:40
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-03-19 19:35