L’École des cotes

Ignacio Buse v Damir Dzumhur

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ignacio Buse (Local)

Prévision 64.42%1.55cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.939%
Kelly -2.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.03%64.33%64.34%65.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.471.471.5369.93%67.85%68.03%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Damir Dzumhur (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.58%2.81cote équitable
EV -0.378%
Avantage -0.135%
Kelly -0.210%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.12%35.67%35.66%37.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.672.682.8040.00%37.52%37.31%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.939%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 12:09
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.939%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 12:09
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.939%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 12:10
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.939%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 00:40
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%EV -1.09%E -0.392%K -0.612%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-19 17:39
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 19:34
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -6.07%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 19:40
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:40
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.45%E -0.522%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 19:34
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.45%E -0.522%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 19:35
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 17:29
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 19:19
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 19:40
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -5.36%E -2.01%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:30
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:29
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:29
ReBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:19
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:39
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:29
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 17:29
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 17:29
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:30
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:19
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:19
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:19
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:19
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:29
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:40
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.95%E -4.07%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -6.43%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 19:19
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.95%E -4.07%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:29
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.378%E -0.135%K -0.210%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:38
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -1.09%E -0.392%K -0.612%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 17:30
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.16%E -0.784%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:30
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 18:40
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 17:30
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:39
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 16:40
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:29
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 19:14
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.69%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-03-19 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-03-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-03-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-03-19 19:30
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-03-19 19:30
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%2.0%2026-03-19 19:40
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-03-19 19:35