Szkoła Kursów

Ignacio Buse v Damir Dzumhur

Początek: 2026-03-19 19:45 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Ignacio Buse (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 64.42%1.55kurs godziwy
EV -1.44%
Przewaga -0.939%
Kelly -2.71%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.53

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
62.03%64.33%64.34%65.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.431.471.471.5369.93%67.85%68.03%65.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Damir Dzumhur (Goście)

Prognoza 35.58%2.81kurs godziwy
EV -0.378%
Przewaga -0.135%
Kelly -0.210%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.80

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.12%35.67%35.66%37.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.502.672.682.8040.00%37.52%37.31%35.71%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.939%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 12:09
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.939%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 12:09
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.939%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 12:10
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.939%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 00:40
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%EV -1.09%E -0.392%K -0.612%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-19 17:39
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 19:34
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -6.07%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 19:40
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:40
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.45%E -0.522%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 19:34
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.45%E -0.522%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 19:35
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 17:29
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 19:19
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 19:40
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -5.36%E -2.01%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:30
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:29
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:29
ReBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:19
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:39
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:29
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 17:29
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 17:29
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:30
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:19
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:19
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:19
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:19
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:29
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:40
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.95%E -4.07%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -6.43%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 19:19
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.95%E -4.07%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:29
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.378%E -0.135%K -0.210%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:38
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -1.09%E -0.392%K -0.612%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 17:30
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.16%E -0.784%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:30
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 18:40
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 17:30
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:39
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 16:40
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:29
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 19:14
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.69%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:29
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-03-19 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-03-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-03-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-03-19 19:30
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-03-19 19:30
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%2.0%2026-03-19 19:40
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-03-19 19:35