Idioma:Español
Ignacio Buse v Damir Dzumhur
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ignacio Buse (Local)
Predicción 64.42%1.55momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.939%
Kelly -2.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.03%64.33%64.34%65.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.431.471.471.5369.93%67.85%68.03%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Damir Dzumhur (Visitante)
Predicción 35.58%2.81momio equitativo
EV -0.378%
Ventaja -0.135%
Kelly -0.210%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.12%35.67%35.66%37.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.672.682.8040.00%37.52%37.31%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Ignacio Buse (Local): 64.42%; Damir Dzumhur (Visitante): 35.58%. Para Damir Dzumhur (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.81. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.80, con un valor esperado de -0.378%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.939%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 12:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.939%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 12:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.939%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 12:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.939%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%EV -1.09%E -0.392%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-19 19:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -6.07%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.45%E -0.522%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 19:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.45%E -0.522%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 19:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 17:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 19:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -5.36%E -2.01%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 17:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 17:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 17:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.95%E -4.07%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -6.43%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 19:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.95%E -4.07%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 17:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.378%E -0.135%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 19:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -1.09%E -0.392%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.16%E -0.784%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 19:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 17:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 17:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.69%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 19:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17% | 2.0% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-03-19 19:35 |