Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ignacio Buse v Damir Dzumhur

Inizio: 2026-03-19 19:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

52 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ignacio Buse (Casa)

Previsione 64.42%1.55quota equa
EV -1.44%
Vantaggio -0.939%
Kelly -2.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.03%64.33%64.34%65.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.471.471.5369.93%67.85%68.03%65.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Damir Dzumhur (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.58%2.81quota equa
EV -0.378%
Vantaggio -0.135%
Kelly -0.210%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.12%35.67%35.66%37.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.672.682.8040.00%37.52%37.31%35.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ignacio Buse (Casa): 64.42%; Damir Dzumhur (Trasferta): 35.58%. Per Damir Dzumhur (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.81. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.80, con un valore atteso del -0.378%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.939%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 12:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.939%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 12:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.939%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 12:10
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.44%E -0.939%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 00:40
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%EV -1.09%E -0.392%K -0.612%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-19 17:39
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 19:34
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -6.07%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 19:40
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.45%E -0.522%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 19:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.45%E -0.522%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 19:35
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 17:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 19:19
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 19:40
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -5.36%E -2.01%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:30
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:29
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:19
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:39
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:29
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 17:29
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:30
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:19
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:19
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:19
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:20
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -5.95%E -4.07%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -6.43%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 19:19
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.95%E -4.07%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:29
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.378%E -0.135%K -0.210%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -1.09%E -0.392%K -0.612%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 17:30
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.16%E -0.784%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:30
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 17:30
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 16:40
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:29
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 19:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.69%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-03-19 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-03-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-03-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-03-19 19:30
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-03-19 19:30
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%2.0%2026-03-19 19:40
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-03-19 19:35