StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Gabriel Diallo v Ugo Humbert

Matchstart: 2026-03-21 22:40 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Gabriel Diallo (Hemma)

Prognos 44.14%2.27rättvist odds
EV +1.53%
Fördel +0.664%
Kelly +1.18%
Tillväxt +0.018%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.07%43.93%44.30%45.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.162.142.3047.62%46.39%46.73%43.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Ugo Humbert (Borta)

Prognos 55.86%1.79rättvist odds
EV -2.81%
Fördel -1.61%
Kelly -3.80%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.74

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.83%56.07%55.70%57.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.621.691.711.7461.73%59.02%58.48%57.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Gabriel Diallo (Hemma): 44.14%; Ugo Humbert (Borta): 55.86%. För Gabriel Diallo (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.27. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.30, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.53%.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +1.53%E +0.664%K +1.18%G +0.018%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 22:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +1.53%E +0.664%K +1.18%G +0.018%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 22:34
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.679%E -0.302%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 22:30
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.679%E -0.302%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:34
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.679%E -0.302%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:34
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 22:34
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:34
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 22:34
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.51%E -5.87%K -15.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 22:35
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.77%E -1.73%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 22:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.77%E -1.73%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 22:34
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.77%E -1.73%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.16%E -3.67%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 22:34
SportsBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.21%E -1.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:34
GTbets🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.21%E -1.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 22:34
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 22:34
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 22:32
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.16%E -3.67%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 22:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 22:34
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 22:34
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 22:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.93%E -2.28%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:34
ReBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.93%E -2.28%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:34
LeoVegas🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.37%E -1.95%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 22:34
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.37%E -1.95%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 22:35
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.37%E -1.95%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 22:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.37%E -1.95%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 22:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.37%E -1.95%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 22:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 22:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.04%E -2.97%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 22:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.16%E -3.67%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 22:34
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 22:34
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 22:34
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-03-21 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-03-21 22:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-03-21 22:35
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-03-21 22:35
ProphetX2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-03-21 22:34
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%1.7%2026-03-21 22:35
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-03-21 22:34