Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Gabriel Diallo (Casa): 44.14%; Ugo Humbert (Trasferta): 55.86%. Per Gabriel Diallo (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.27. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.30, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.53%.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +1.53%E +0.664%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +1.53%E +0.664%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.679%E -0.302%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.679%E -0.302%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.679%E -0.302%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.51%E -5.87%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 22:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.77%E -1.73%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 22:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.77%E -1.73%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.77%E -1.73%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.16%E -3.67%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.21%E -1.94%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.21%E -1.94%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 22:32 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.16%E -3.67%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.93%E -2.28%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.93%E -2.28%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.37%E -1.95%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.37%E -1.95%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 22:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.37%E -1.95%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.37%E -1.95%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.37%E -1.95%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.04%E -2.97%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.16%E -3.67%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 22:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 22:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17% | 1.7% | 2026-03-21 22:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.3% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |