A Escola das Odds

Gabriel Diallo v Ugo Humbert

Início: 2026-03-21 22:40 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Gabriel Diallo (Local)

Previsão 44.14%2.27odd justa
EV +1.53%
Vantagem +0.664%
Kelly +1.18%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.07%43.93%44.30%45.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.162.142.3047.62%46.39%46.73%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ugo Humbert (Visitante)

Previsão 55.86%1.79odd justa
EV -2.81%
Vantagem -1.61%
Kelly -3.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.83%56.07%55.70%57.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.691.711.7461.73%59.02%58.48%57.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +1.53%E +0.664%K +1.18%G +0.018%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 22:34
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +1.53%E +0.664%K +1.18%G +0.018%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 22:34
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.679%E -0.302%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 22:30
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.679%E -0.302%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:34
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.679%E -0.302%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:34
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 22:34
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:34
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 22:34
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.51%E -5.87%K -15.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 22:35
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.77%E -1.73%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 22:35
Unibet (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.77%E -1.73%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 22:34
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.77%E -1.73%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.16%E -3.67%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 22:34
SportsBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.21%E -1.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:34
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.21%E -1.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:34
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 22:34
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 22:34
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 22:32
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.16%E -3.67%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 22:34
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 22:34
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 22:34
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 22:34
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.93%E -2.28%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:34
ReBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.93%E -2.28%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:34
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.53%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.37%E -1.95%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 22:34
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.37%E -1.95%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 22:35
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.37%E -1.95%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 22:34
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.37%E -1.95%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 22:34
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.37%E -1.95%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 22:34
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 22:34
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.04%E -2.97%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 22:34
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.16%E -3.67%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 22:34
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 22:34
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 22:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-03-21 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-03-21 22:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-03-21 22:35
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-03-21 22:35
ProphetX2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-03-21 22:34
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%1.7%2026-03-21 22:35
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-03-21 22:34