La scuola delle quote

Francisco Cerundolo v Thiago Agustin Tirante

Inizio: 2026-03-21 22:40 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (Casa)

Previsione 73.38%1.36quota equa
EV -1.67%
Vantaggio -1.25%
Kelly -4.91%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.80%73.35%73.09%75.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.291.281.3480.00%77.69%78.13%74.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.62%3.76quota equa
EV +1.15%
Vantaggio +0.303%
Kelly +0.411%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.75%26.65%26.91%29.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.603.603.8031.25%27.81%27.78%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%3.8%2026-03-21 22:34
LeoVegas1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.27%E -6.62%K -33.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%6.3%2026-03-21 21:33
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV +0.618%E +0.163%K +0.222%G +0.001%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.181%E -0.048%K -0.066%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 21:34
Unibet (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.07%E -4.74%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.51%E -0.409%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:19
ReBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.07%E -4.74%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.51%E -0.409%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:20
theScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.51%E -0.409%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 21:34
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.27%E -6.62%K -33.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.51%E -0.409%K -0.560%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 21:34
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.84%E -0.779%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:30
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.07%E -4.74%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.84%E -0.779%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 22:34
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:30
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:24
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:24
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:24
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:24
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 21:34
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 22:34
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 22:35
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.91%EV -2.40%E -1.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 22:34
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -3.87%E -2.95%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 22:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.07%E -4.74%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 22:30
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.14%E -2.38%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 22:19
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.14%E -2.38%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 22:28
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 22:30
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 22:19
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 22:30
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 22:34
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -3.87%E -2.95%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:34
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 22:29
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 22:30
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.40%E -1.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 22:24
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 22:24
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 22:29
Fanatics1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.54%E -5.98%K -29.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 22:34
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -1.67%E -1.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -10.30%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 22:30
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -1.67%E -1.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -10.30%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 22:30
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.14%E -2.38%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 22:29
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.07%E -4.74%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 22:14
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.40%E -1.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 22:19
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 22:34
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.14%E -2.38%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -14.82%E -4.63%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 22:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-21 22:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-21 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-21 22:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-21 22:35
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-03-21 22:34
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%2.6%2026-03-21 22:34
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%2.7%2026-03-21 22:30