L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Francisco Cerundolo v Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Francisco Cerundolo (Local)
Prévision 73.38%1.36cote équitable
EV -1.67%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -4.91%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.80%73.35%73.09%75.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.291.281.3480.00%77.69%78.13%74.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.62%3.76cote équitable
EV +1.15%
Avantage +0.303%
Kelly +0.411%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.75%26.65%26.91%29.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.603.603.8031.25%27.81%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| Casumo | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| betPARX | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| Bally Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| Caesars | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.27%E -6.62%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 21:33 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV +0.618%E +0.163%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.181%E -0.048%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.07%E -4.74%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.51%E -0.409%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 22:19 |
| ReBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.07%E -4.74%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.51%E -0.409%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 22:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.51%E -0.409%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.27%E -6.62%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.51%E -0.409%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| GTbets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.84%E -0.779%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 22:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.07%E -4.74%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.84%E -0.779%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 22:30 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 22:24 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 22:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 22:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 22:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Betsson | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 22:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.91%EV -2.40%E -1.81%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -3.87%E -2.95%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 22:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.07%E -4.74%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.14%E -2.38%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 22:19 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.14%E -2.38%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 22:28 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 22:30 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 22:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 22:30 |
| Fliff | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -3.87%E -2.95%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 22:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 22:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.40%E -1.81%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:24 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 22:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.54%E -5.98%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -1.67%E -1.25%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -10.30%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -1.67%E -1.25%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -10.30%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 22:30 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.14%E -2.38%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 22:29 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.07%E -4.74%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.40%E -1.81%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 22:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.14%E -2.38%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -14.82%E -4.63%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 22:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 22:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 22:35 |
| ProphetX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Smarkets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71% | 2.6% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Novig | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35% | 2.7% | 2026-03-21 22:30 |