مدرسة الاحتمالات

Francisco Cerundolo v Thiago Agustin Tirante

البداية: 2026-03-21 22:40 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 73.38%1.36السعر العادل
EV -1.67%
الأفضلية -1.25%
Kelly -4.91%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.34

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
70.80%73.35%73.09%75.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.291.281.3480.00%77.69%78.13%74.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Thiago Agustin Tirante (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.62%3.76السعر العادل
EV +1.15%
الأفضلية +0.303%
Kelly +0.411%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.75%26.65%26.91%29.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.603.603.8031.25%27.81%27.78%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%3.8%2026-03-21 22:34
LeoVegas1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%5.1%2026-03-21 21:34
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.27%E -6.62%K -33.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005%6.3%2026-03-21 21:33
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV +0.618%E +0.163%K +0.222%G +0.001%5.2%2026-03-21 22:34
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.181%E -0.048%K -0.066%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 21:34
Unibet (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.07%E -4.74%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.51%E -0.409%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:19
ReBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.07%E -4.74%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.51%E -0.409%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:20
theScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.51%E -0.409%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 21:34
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.27%E -6.62%K -33.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.51%E -0.409%K -0.560%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 21:34
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.84%E -0.779%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:30
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.07%E -4.74%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.84%E -0.779%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 22:34
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:30
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:24
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:24
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:24
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:24
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 21:34
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 22:34
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 22:35
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.91%EV -2.40%E -1.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 22:34
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -3.87%E -2.95%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 22:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.07%E -4.74%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 22:30
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.14%E -2.38%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 22:19
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.14%E -2.38%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 22:28
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 22:30
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 22:19
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 22:30
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 22:34
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -3.87%E -2.95%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 22:34
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 22:29
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 22:30
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.40%E -1.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 22:24
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 22:24
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 22:29
Fanatics1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.54%E -5.98%K -29.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 22:34
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -1.67%E -1.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -10.30%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 22:30
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -1.67%E -1.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -10.30%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 22:30
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.14%E -2.38%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 22:29
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.07%E -4.74%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 22:14
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.40%E -1.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 22:19
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 22:34
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.14%E -2.38%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -14.82%E -4.63%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 22:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-21 22:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-21 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-21 22:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-21 22:35
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-03-21 22:34
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%2.6%2026-03-21 22:34
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%2.7%2026-03-21 22:30