La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Francisco Cerundolo v Thiago Agustin Tirante
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Francisco Cerundolo (Local)
Predicción 73.38%1.36momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -4.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.80%73.35%73.09%75.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.291.281.3480.00%77.69%78.13%74.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante)
Predicción 26.62%3.76momio equitativo
EV +1.15%
Ventaja +0.303%
Kelly +0.411%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.75%26.65%26.91%29.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.603.603.8031.25%27.81%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| Casumo | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| betPARX | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| Bally Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| Caesars | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.27%E -6.62%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.15%E +0.303%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 21:33 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV +0.618%E +0.163%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.181%E -0.048%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.07%E -4.74%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.51%E -0.409%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 22:19 |
| ReBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.07%E -4.74%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.51%E -0.409%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 22:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.51%E -0.409%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.27%E -6.62%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.51%E -0.409%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| GTbets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.84%E -0.779%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 22:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.07%E -4.74%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.84%E -0.779%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 22:30 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 22:24 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 22:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 22:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 22:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 21:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Betsson | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 22:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.91%EV -2.40%E -1.81%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -3.87%E -2.95%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 22:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.07%E -4.74%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.14%E -2.38%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 22:19 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.14%E -2.38%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 22:28 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 22:30 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 22:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 22:30 |
| Fliff | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.84%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -3.87%E -2.95%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 22:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 22:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.40%E -1.81%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:24 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.60%E -3.54%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 22:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.54%E -5.98%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -1.67%E -1.25%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -10.30%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -1.67%E -1.25%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -10.30%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 22:30 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.14%E -2.38%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 22:29 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.07%E -4.74%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.40%E -1.81%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 22:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.14%E -2.38%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -14.82%E -4.63%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 22:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 22:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 22:35 |
| ProphetX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Smarkets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71% | 2.6% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Novig | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35% | 2.7% | 2026-03-21 22:30 |