La scuola delle quote

Francisco Cerundolo v Daniil Medvedev

Inizio: 2026-03-23 16:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (Casa)

Previsione 25.17%3.97quota equa
EV +0.670%
Vantaggio +0.168%
Kelly +0.223%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.37%25.04%25.35%26.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.803.754.0027.78%26.29%26.67%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Daniil Medvedev (Trasferta)

Previsione 74.83%1.34quota equa
EV -2.72%
Vantaggio -2.09%
Kelly -9.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.92%74.96%74.65%76.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.98%78.74%76.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 15:00
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 15:35
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 15:35
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 15:35
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 15:35
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 15:35
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 15:20
LowVig.ag3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -1.34%E -0.343%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 15:19
BetOnline.ag3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -1.34%E -0.343%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 15:19
Bovada3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.85%E -0.473%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 15:00
NetBet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -1.85%E -0.473%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.21%E -5.81%K -30.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 15:34
1xBet3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -2.72%E -2.09%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-23 14:59
FanDuel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 15:00
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.71%E -4.53%K -21.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 14:59
Betr (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 15:20
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 14:59
DraftKings3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -3.61%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 08:24
Parions Sport (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 14:59
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 14:59
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 15:34
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 13:20
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.47%E -2.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 10:58
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.47%E -2.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 11:00
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
NordicBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
Betsson3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 11:00
ReBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 15:35
BetRivers3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
Casumo3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 11:00
Unibet (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 11:00
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 11:00
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
Unibet (NL)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 11:00
betPARX3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
ATG (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 11:00
Bally Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
Svenska Spel3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 11:00
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 15:00
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 14:59
Fliff3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 15:00
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-23 15:19
Marathon Bet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -5.87%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 15:00
Fanatics3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 10:59
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 11:00
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 10:59
GTbets3.68I 27.17%NM 25.51%EV -7.38%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.49%EV -5.71%E -4.53%K -21.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-23 08:24
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-23 10:59
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.71%E -4.53%K -21.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-23 10:59
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 14:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig4.27I 23.42%NM 23.34%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.66%0.3%2026-03-23 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-03-23 15:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-03-23 15:35
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-03-23 15:34
ProphetX4.25I 23.53%NM 23.29%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71%1.0%2026-03-23 15:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-03-23 15:35
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-03-23 15:35