مدرسة الاحتمالات

Francisco Cerundolo v Daniil Medvedev

البداية: 2026-03-23 16:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 25.17%3.97السعر العادل
EV +0.670%
الأفضلية +0.168%
Kelly +0.223%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.37%25.04%25.35%26.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.603.803.754.0027.78%26.29%26.67%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Daniil Medvedev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 74.83%1.34السعر العادل
EV -2.72%
الأفضلية -2.09%
Kelly -9.06%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
73.92%74.96%74.65%76.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.98%78.74%76.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 15:00
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 15:35
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 15:35
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 15:35
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 15:35
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 15:35
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 15:20
LowVig.ag3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -1.34%E -0.343%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 15:19
BetOnline.ag3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -1.34%E -0.343%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 15:19
Bovada3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.85%E -0.473%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 15:00
NetBet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -1.85%E -0.473%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.21%E -5.81%K -30.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 15:34
1xBet3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -2.72%E -2.09%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-23 14:59
FanDuel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 15:00
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.71%E -4.53%K -21.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 14:59
Betr (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 15:20
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 14:59
DraftKings3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -3.61%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 08:24
Parions Sport (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 14:59
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 14:59
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 15:34
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 13:20
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.47%E -2.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 10:58
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.47%E -2.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 11:00
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
NordicBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
Betsson3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 11:00
ReBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 15:35
BetRivers3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
Casumo3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 11:00
Unibet (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 11:00
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 11:00
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
Unibet (NL)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 11:00
betPARX3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
ATG (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 11:00
Bally Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
Svenska Spel3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 11:00
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 15:00
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 14:59
Fliff3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 15:00
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-23 15:19
Marathon Bet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -5.87%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 15:00
Fanatics3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 10:59
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 11:00
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 10:59
GTbets3.68I 27.17%NM 25.51%EV -7.38%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.49%EV -5.71%E -4.53%K -21.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-23 08:24
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-23 10:59
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.71%E -4.53%K -21.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-23 10:59
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 14:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig4.27I 23.42%NM 23.34%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.66%0.3%2026-03-23 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-03-23 15:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-03-23 15:35
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-03-23 15:34
ProphetX4.25I 23.53%NM 23.29%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71%1.0%2026-03-23 15:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-03-23 15:35
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-03-23 15:35