L’École des cotes

Francisco Cerundolo v Daniil Medvedev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-23 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (Local)

Prévision 25.17%3.97cote équitable
EV +0.670%
Avantage +0.168%
Kelly +0.223%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.37%25.04%25.35%26.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.803.754.0027.78%26.29%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Daniil Medvedev (Visiteur)

Prévision 74.83%1.34cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -2.09%
Kelly -9.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.92%74.96%74.65%76.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.98%78.74%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 15:00
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 15:35
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 15:35
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 15:35
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 15:35
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 15:35
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 15:20
LowVig.ag3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -1.34%E -0.343%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 15:19
BetOnline.ag3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -1.34%E -0.343%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 15:19
Bovada3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.85%E -0.473%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 15:00
NetBet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -1.85%E -0.473%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.21%E -5.81%K -30.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 15:34
1xBet3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -2.72%E -2.09%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-23 14:59
FanDuel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 15:00
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.71%E -4.53%K -21.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 14:59
Betr (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 15:20
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 14:59
DraftKings3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -3.61%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 08:24
Parions Sport (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 14:59
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 14:59
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 15:34
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 13:20
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.47%E -2.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 10:58
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.47%E -2.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 11:00
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
NordicBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
Betsson3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 11:00
ReBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 15:35
BetRivers3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
Casumo3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 11:00
Unibet (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 11:00
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 11:00
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
Unibet (NL)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 11:00
betPARX3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
ATG (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 11:00
Bally Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 10:59
Svenska Spel3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 11:00
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 15:00
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 14:59
Fliff3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 15:00
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-23 15:19
Marathon Bet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -5.87%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 15:00
Fanatics3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 10:59
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 11:00
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 10:59
GTbets3.68I 27.17%NM 25.51%EV -7.38%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.49%EV -5.71%E -4.53%K -21.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-23 08:24
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-23 10:59
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.71%E -4.53%K -21.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-23 10:59
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 14:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig4.27I 23.42%NM 23.34%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.66%0.3%2026-03-23 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-03-23 15:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-03-23 15:35
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-03-23 15:34
ProphetX4.25I 23.53%NM 23.29%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71%1.0%2026-03-23 15:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-03-23 15:35
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-03-23 15:35