La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Francisco Cerundolo v Daniil Medvedev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Francisco Cerundolo (Local)
Predicción 25.17%3.97momio equitativo
EV +0.670%
Ventaja +0.168%
Kelly +0.223%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.37%25.04%25.35%26.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.803.754.0027.78%26.29%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Daniil Medvedev (Visitante)
Predicción 74.83%1.34momio equitativo
EV -2.72%
Ventaja -2.09%
Kelly -9.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.92%74.96%74.65%76.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.98%78.74%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Bet Right | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 15:35 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 15:35 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 15:35 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.670%E +0.168%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -1.34%E -0.343%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 15:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -1.34%E -0.343%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 15:19 |
| Bovada | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.85%E -0.473%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -1.85%E -0.473%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.21%E -5.81%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 15:34 |
| 1xBet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -2.72%E -2.09%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.71%E -4.53%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 15:20 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| DraftKings | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -3.61%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 08:24 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 15:34 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.47%E -2.69%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 10:58 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.47%E -2.69%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| NordicBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Betsson | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| ReBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 15:35 |
| BetRivers | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Casumo | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| LeoVegas | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Unibet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| betPARX | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| Bally Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| BetUS | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Fliff | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| Everygame | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-23 15:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -5.87%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| theScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| GTbets | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.51%EV -7.38%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.49%EV -5.71%E -4.53%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-23 08:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.71%E -4.53%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 4.27I 23.42%NM 23.34% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.66% | 0.3% | 2026-03-23 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-03-23 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 15:35 |
| Matchbook | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 15:34 |
| ProphetX | 4.25I 23.53%NM 23.29% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71% | 1.0% | 2026-03-23 15:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-03-23 15:35 |
| Smarkets | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 2.0% | 2026-03-23 15:35 |