Language:English
Francisco Cerundolo v Alexander Zverev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Francisco Cerundolo (Local)
Prediction 28.13%3.55fair odd
EV +1.27%
Edge +0.353%
Kelly +0.488%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.68%28.24%28.12%30.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.303.303.6032.79%30.34%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Zverev (Visit)
Prediction 71.87%1.39fair odd
EV -0.820%
Edge -0.594%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.48%71.76%71.88%73.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.331.331.3877.52%75.01%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Francisco Cerundolo (Local): 28.13%; Alexander Zverev (Visit): 71.87%. For Francisco Cerundolo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.27%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.27%E +0.353%K +0.488%G +0.006% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 21:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-26 21:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.57%E -5.05%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-26 22:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -1.82%E -0.523%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -1.82%E -0.523%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -1.82%E -0.523%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -2.95%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -7.29%E -5.65%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -2.98%E -2.20%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-26 22:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 07:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 22:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-26 22:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.57%E -5.05%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 21:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.29%E -5.65%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 21:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -4.92%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-26 22:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 22:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV -6.33%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -0.820%E -0.594%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-26 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-25 10:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-25 10:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-25 14:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-25 14:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-26 22:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -8.29%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -3.69%E -2.76%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 05:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.98%E -2.20%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 20:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 22:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 22:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-26 22:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-25 15:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-26 22:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-26 22:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.57%E -5.05%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-26 22:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.57%E -5.05%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-26 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -1.54%E -1.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -1.54%E -1.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-25 05:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-25 10:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -14.20%E -4.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -3.69%E -2.76%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-26 09:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-03-26 22:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 1.9% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51% | 2.2% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |