A Escola das Odds

Francisco Cerundolo v Alexander Zverev

Início: 2026-03-26 23:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (Local)

Previsão 28.13%3.55odd justa
EV +1.27%
Vantagem +0.353%
Kelly +0.488%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.68%28.24%28.12%30.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.053.303.303.6032.79%30.34%30.30%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexander Zverev (Visitante)

Previsão 71.87%1.39odd justa
EV -0.820%
Vantagem -0.594%
Kelly -2.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.48%71.76%71.88%73.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.291.331.331.3877.52%75.01%75.19%72.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.27%E +0.353%K +0.488%G +0.006%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 22:55
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 22:55
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 21:39
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 21:39
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.57%E -5.05%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 22:44
LowVig.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -1.82%E -0.523%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 22:50
BetOnline.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -1.82%E -0.523%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 22:50
DraftKings3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -1.82%E -0.523%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 22:55
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -2.95%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -7.29%E -5.65%K -25.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 22:55
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -2.98%E -2.20%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-26 22:45
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 22:55
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 07:10
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 22:55
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 22:55
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 22:54
Parions Sport (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 22:55
ReBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 22:55
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 22:55
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 22:54
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.57%E -5.05%K -21.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 21:39
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.29%E -5.65%K -25.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-26 21:39
1xBet3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -4.92%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-26 22:55
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 22:54
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 22:54
Pinnacle3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV -6.33%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -0.820%E -0.594%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-26 22:45
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 22:55
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-25 10:25
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-25 10:24
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-25 14:14
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-25 14:14
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-26 22:45
GTbets3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -8.29%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -3.69%E -2.76%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 05:40
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.98%E -2.20%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 20:19
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 22:44
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 22:49
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 22:49
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 15:19
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 22:54
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 22:50
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.57%E -5.05%K -21.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-26 22:49
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.57%E -5.05%K -21.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-26 22:50
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -1.54%E -1.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 15:20
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -1.54%E -1.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 15:20
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:20
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:20
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:19
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:20
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:20
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:20
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:19
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:20
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:20
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:19
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-25 05:49
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-25 10:09
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -14.20%E -4.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -3.69%E -2.76%K -10.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-26 09:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-03-26 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-03-26 22:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-03-26 22:55
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-03-26 22:55
ProphetX3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-03-26 22:55
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%1.9%2026-03-26 22:55
Novig3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51%2.2%2026-03-26 22:55