Idioma:Español
Francisco Cerundolo v Alexander Zverev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Francisco Cerundolo (Local)
Predicción 28.13%3.55momio equitativo
EV +1.27%
Ventaja +0.353%
Kelly +0.488%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.68%28.24%28.12%30.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.303.303.6032.79%30.34%30.30%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alexander Zverev (Visitante)
Predicción 71.87%1.39momio equitativo
EV -0.820%
Ventaja -0.594%
Kelly -2.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.48%71.76%71.88%73.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.291.331.331.3877.52%75.01%75.19%72.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Francisco Cerundolo (Local): 28.13%; Alexander Zverev (Visitante): 71.87%. Para Francisco Cerundolo (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.55. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.27%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.27%E +0.353%K +0.488%G +0.006% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 21:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-26 21:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.57%E -5.05%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-26 22:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -1.82%E -0.523%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -1.82%E -0.523%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -1.82%E -0.523%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -2.95%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -7.29%E -5.65%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -2.98%E -2.20%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-26 22:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-25 07:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 22:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-26 22:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.57%E -5.05%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 21:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.29%E -5.65%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 21:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -4.92%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-26 22:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 22:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV -6.33%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -0.820%E -0.594%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-26 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-25 10:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-25 10:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-25 14:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-25 14:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-26 22:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -8.29%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -3.69%E -2.76%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 05:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.98%E -2.20%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 20:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 22:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 22:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-26 22:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-25 15:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-26 22:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-26 22:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.57%E -5.05%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-26 22:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.57%E -5.05%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-26 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -1.54%E -1.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -1.54%E -1.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-25 05:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-25 10:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -14.20%E -4.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -3.69%E -2.76%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-26 09:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-03-26 22:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 1.9% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51% | 2.2% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |