L’École des cotes

Francisco Cerundolo v Alexander Zverev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-26 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (Local)

Prévision 28.13%3.55cote équitable
EV +1.27%
Avantage +0.353%
Kelly +0.488%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.68%28.24%28.12%30.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.303.303.6032.79%30.34%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexander Zverev (Visiteur)

Prévision 71.87%1.39cote équitable
EV -0.820%
Avantage -0.594%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.48%71.76%71.88%73.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.331.331.3877.52%75.01%75.19%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.27%E +0.353%K +0.488%G +0.006%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 22:55
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 22:55
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 21:39
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 21:39
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.57%E -5.05%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 22:44
LowVig.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -1.82%E -0.523%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 22:50
BetOnline.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -1.82%E -0.523%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 22:50
DraftKings3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -1.82%E -0.523%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 22:55
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -2.95%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -7.29%E -5.65%K -25.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 22:55
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -2.98%E -2.20%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-26 22:45
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 22:55
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 07:10
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 22:55
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 22:55
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 22:54
Parions Sport (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 22:55
ReBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 22:55
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 22:55
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 22:54
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.57%E -5.05%K -21.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 21:39
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.29%E -5.65%K -25.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-26 21:39
1xBet3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -4.92%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-26 22:55
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 22:54
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 22:54
Pinnacle3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV -6.33%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -0.820%E -0.594%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-26 22:45
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 22:55
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-25 10:25
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-25 10:24
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-25 14:14
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-25 14:14
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-26 22:45
GTbets3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -8.29%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -3.69%E -2.76%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 05:40
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.98%E -2.20%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 20:19
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 22:44
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 22:49
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.85%E -4.47%K -18.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 22:49
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 15:19
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 22:54
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.13%E -3.89%K -16.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 22:50
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.57%E -5.05%K -21.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-26 22:49
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.57%E -5.05%K -21.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-26 22:50
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -1.54%E -1.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 15:20
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -1.54%E -1.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 15:20
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:20
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:20
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:19
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:20
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:20
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:20
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:19
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:20
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:20
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:19
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.26%E -1.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-25 05:49
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.41%E -3.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-25 10:09
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -14.20%E -4.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -3.69%E -2.76%K -10.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-26 09:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-03-26 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-03-26 22:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-03-26 22:55
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-03-26 22:55
ProphetX3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-03-26 22:55
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%1.9%2026-03-26 22:55
Novig3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51%2.2%2026-03-26 22:55