Language:English
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Marton Fucsovics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Prediction 67.16%1.49fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -5.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.53%67.31%66.98%69.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.401.401.4575.19%71.48%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marton Fucsovics (Visit)
Prediction 32.84%3.05fair odd
EV +3.78%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.75%
Growth +0.066%
assuming max odds 3.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.02%32.69%33.02%34.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.922.953.1637.04%34.20%33.90%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local): 67.16%; Marton Fucsovics (Visit): 32.84%. For Marton Fucsovics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.05. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -7.99%E -5.83%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV +3.78%E +1.20%K +1.75%G +0.066% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 17:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +3.45%E +1.09%K +1.60%G +0.055% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -7.99%E -5.83%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV +3.12%E +0.994%K +1.46%G +0.045% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -8.66%E -6.37%K -24.06%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV +2.46%E +0.789%K +1.16%G +0.029% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 17:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.66%E -6.37%K -24.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.81%E +0.583%K +0.860%G +0.016% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +1.81%E +0.583%K +0.860%G +0.016% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +0.164%E +0.054%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +0.164%E +0.054%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV -1.15%E -0.382%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.48%E -0.493%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 17:07 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.29%E -2.29%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.65%E -4.78%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.99%E -5.83%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -4.11%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 17:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.99%E -5.83%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -4.11%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 17:08 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.29%E -2.29%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.66%E -6.37%K -24.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 17:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.29%E -2.29%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 17:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.62%E -1.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.73%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.62%E -1.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.73%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 17:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.05%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.29%E -2.29%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.69%E -3.52%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.69%E -3.52%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.69%E -3.52%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.33%E -4.20%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.33%E -4.20%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 17:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-03-21 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03% | 2.3% | 2026-03-21 17:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.65% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 17:19 |