Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Marton Fucsovics

Inizio: 2026-03-21 17:25 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

54 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Casa)

Previsione 67.16%1.49quota equa
EV -2.62%
Vantaggio -1.81%
Kelly -5.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.53%67.31%66.98%69.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.401.401.4575.19%71.48%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Marton Fucsovics (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.84%3.05quota equa
EV +3.78%
Vantaggio +1.20%
Kelly +1.75%
Crescita +0.066%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.02%32.69%33.02%34.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.922.953.1637.04%34.20%33.90%31.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Casa): 67.16%; Marton Fucsovics (Trasferta): 32.84%. Per Marton Fucsovics (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.05. 8 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.16, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.78%.

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -7.99%E -5.83%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV +3.78%E +1.20%K +1.75%G +0.066%4.6%2026-03-21 17:14
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +3.45%E +1.09%K +1.60%G +0.055%4.2%2026-03-21 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -7.99%E -5.83%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV +3.12%E +0.994%K +1.46%G +0.045%4.8%2026-03-21 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -8.66%E -6.37%K -24.06%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV +2.46%E +0.789%K +1.16%G +0.029%5.6%2026-03-21 17:14
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.66%E -6.37%K -24.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.81%E +0.583%K +0.860%G +0.016%5.8%2026-03-21 17:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +1.81%E +0.583%K +0.860%G +0.016%7.4%2026-03-21 17:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +0.164%E +0.054%K +0.080%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
ReBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +0.164%E +0.054%K +0.080%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:08
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV -1.15%E -0.382%K -0.572%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 17:10
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.48%E -0.493%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 17:07
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.29%E -2.29%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 17:09
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:10
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:08
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.65%E -4.78%K -17.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 17:10
Fliff🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.99%E -5.83%K -21.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 17:00
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -4.11%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.99%E -5.83%K -21.60%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -4.11%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:00
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 17:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 17:09
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 17:08
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.29%E -2.29%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 17:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:09
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.66%E -6.37%K -24.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 17:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:09
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:10
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.29%E -2.29%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 17:19
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:09
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.62%E -1.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.73%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.62%E -1.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.73%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 17:20
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.05%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:10
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.29%E -2.29%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.69%E -3.52%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 17:09
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.69%E -3.52%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.69%E -3.52%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:20
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.33%E -4.20%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 17:20
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.33%E -4.20%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-03-21 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-03-21 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-03-21 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-03-21 17:10
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-03-21 17:10
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%2.3%2026-03-21 17:15
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 67.65%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%3.4%2026-03-21 17:19