StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Marton Fucsovics

Matchstart: 2026-03-21 17:25 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Hemma)

Prognos 67.16%1.49rättvist odds
EV -2.62%
Fördel -1.81%
Kelly -5.82%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
65.53%67.31%66.98%69.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.331.401.401.4575.19%71.48%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Marton Fucsovics (Borta)

Prognos 32.84%3.05rättvist odds
EV +3.78%
Fördel +1.20%
Kelly +1.75%
Tillväxt +0.066%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.16

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.02%32.69%33.02%34.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.922.953.1637.04%34.20%33.90%31.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Hemma): 67.16%; Marton Fucsovics (Borta): 32.84%. För Marton Fucsovics (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.05. 8 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.16, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.78%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -7.99%E -5.83%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV +3.78%E +1.20%K +1.75%G +0.066%4.6%2026-03-21 17:14
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +3.45%E +1.09%K +1.60%G +0.055%4.2%2026-03-21 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -7.99%E -5.83%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV +3.12%E +0.994%K +1.46%G +0.045%4.8%2026-03-21 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -8.66%E -6.37%K -24.06%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV +2.46%E +0.789%K +1.16%G +0.029%5.6%2026-03-21 17:14
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.66%E -6.37%K -24.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.81%E +0.583%K +0.860%G +0.016%5.8%2026-03-21 17:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +1.81%E +0.583%K +0.860%G +0.016%7.4%2026-03-21 17:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +0.164%E +0.054%K +0.080%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
ReBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +0.164%E +0.054%K +0.080%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:08
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV -1.15%E -0.382%K -0.572%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 17:10
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.48%E -0.493%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 17:07
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.29%E -2.29%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 17:09
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:10
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:08
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.65%E -4.78%K -17.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 17:10
Fliff🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.99%E -5.83%K -21.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 17:00
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -4.11%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.99%E -5.83%K -21.60%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -4.11%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:00
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 17:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 17:09
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 17:08
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.29%E -2.29%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 17:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:09
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.66%E -6.37%K -24.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 17:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:09
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:10
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.29%E -2.29%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 17:19
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:09
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.62%E -1.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.73%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.62%E -1.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.73%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 17:20
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.05%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:10
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.29%E -2.29%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.69%E -3.52%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 17:09
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.69%E -3.52%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.69%E -3.52%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:20
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.33%E -4.20%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 17:20
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.33%E -4.20%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:14
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-03-21 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-03-21 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-03-21 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-03-21 17:10
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-03-21 17:10
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%2.3%2026-03-21 17:15
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 67.65%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%3.4%2026-03-21 17:19