Школа коэффициентов

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Marton Fucsovics

Начало: 2026-03-21 17:25 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

54 букмекерские конторы (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Хозяева)

Прогноз 67.16%1.49справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.62%
Преимущество -1.81%
Kelly -5.82%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.45

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
65.53%67.31%66.98%69.98%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.331.401.401.4575.19%71.48%71.43%68.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Marton Fucsovics (Гости)

Прогноз 32.84%3.05справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.78%
Преимущество +1.20%
Kelly +1.75%
Рост +0.066%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.16

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.02%32.69%33.02%34.47%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.702.922.953.1637.04%34.20%33.90%31.65%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (54 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -7.99%E -5.83%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV +3.78%E +1.20%K +1.75%G +0.066%4.6%2026-03-21 17:14
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +3.45%E +1.09%K +1.60%G +0.055%4.2%2026-03-21 17:10
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -7.99%E -5.83%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV +3.12%E +0.994%K +1.46%G +0.045%4.8%2026-03-21 17:09
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -8.66%E -6.37%K -24.06%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV +2.46%E +0.789%K +1.16%G +0.029%5.6%2026-03-21 17:14
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.66%E -6.37%K -24.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.81%E +0.583%K +0.860%G +0.016%5.8%2026-03-21 17:09
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +1.81%E +0.583%K +0.860%G +0.016%7.4%2026-03-21 17:09
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +0.164%E +0.054%K +0.080%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
ReBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +0.164%E +0.054%K +0.080%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:08
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV -1.15%E -0.382%K -0.572%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 17:10
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.48%E -0.493%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 17:07
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.29%E -2.29%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 17:09
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:10
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:10
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:10
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:09
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:08
Betr (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.65%E -4.78%K -17.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 17:10
Fliff1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.99%E -5.83%K -21.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 17:00
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -4.11%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:19
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.99%E -5.83%K -21.60%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -4.11%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:00
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 17:10
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 17:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 17:09
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 17:08
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.29%E -2.29%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 17:09
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 17:10
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:09
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.66%E -6.37%K -24.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 17:08
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:09
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:10
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.29%E -2.29%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 17:19
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:09
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:09
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:10
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:09
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:10
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.62%E -1.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.73%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.62%E -1.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.73%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 17:20
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.05%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:10
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.29%E -2.29%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.69%E -3.52%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 17:09
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.69%E -3.52%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:20
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.69%E -3.52%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:20
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.33%E -4.20%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 17:20
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.33%E -4.20%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:14
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-03-21 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-03-21 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-03-21 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-03-21 17:10
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-03-21 17:10
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%2.3%2026-03-21 17:15
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 67.65%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%3.4%2026-03-21 17:19