Language:English
Ethan Quinn v Hubert Hurkacz
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ethan Quinn (Local)
Prediction 44.59%2.24fair odd
EV +0.331%
Edge +0.147%
Kelly +0.265%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.53%44.36%44.74%46.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.122.2550.00%47.01%47.17%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hubert Hurkacz (Visit)
Prediction 55.41%1.80fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -4.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.76%55.64%55.26%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.701.701.7460.61%58.83%58.82%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ethan Quinn (Local): 44.59%; Hubert Hurkacz (Visit): 55.41%. For Ethan Quinn (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.331%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.331%E +0.147%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 16:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.331%E +0.147%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.561%E -0.252%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.01%E -0.454%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 14:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -1.45%E -0.657%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 16:22 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.90%E -0.863%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 16:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.90%E -0.863%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 14:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -2.34%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 14:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 16:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 14:32 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 16:38 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 09:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 15:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 16:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.91%E -2.80%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 08:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 15:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 21:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 16:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 14:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 14:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 16:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 15:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -7.25%E -3.49%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -8.02%E -4.83%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 16:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 15:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 16:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-19 16:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82% | 1.1% | 2026-03-19 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.4% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68% | 2.6% | 2026-03-19 16:24 |