La escuela de los momios

Ethan Quinn v Hubert Hurkacz

Inicio: 2026-03-19 17:20 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ethan Quinn (Local)

Predicción 44.59%2.24momio equitativo
EV +0.331%
Ventaja +0.147%
Kelly +0.265%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.53%44.36%44.74%46.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.132.122.2550.00%47.01%47.17%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante)

Predicción 55.41%1.80momio equitativo
EV -3.59%
Ventaja -2.06%
Kelly -4.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.76%55.64%55.26%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.701.701.7460.61%58.83%58.82%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.331%E +0.147%K +0.265%G +0.001%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 16:24
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.331%E +0.147%K +0.265%G +0.001%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 16:25
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.561%E -0.252%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:44
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.01%E -0.454%K -0.825%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 14:29
DraftKings2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -1.45%E -0.657%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 16:22
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.90%E -0.863%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 16:04
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.90%E -0.863%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:30
SportsBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -2.34%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 14:30
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:39
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:39
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:39
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:39
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:04
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 15:30
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 14:32
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:38
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:44
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:45
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:44
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:44
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 09:40
ReBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 15:29
Unibet (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 15:39
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:40
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 16:00
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:45
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:44
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:39
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:44
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:44
Unibet (UK)2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.91%E -2.80%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 16:45
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 08:55
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 15:30
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 21:00
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 16:40
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 16:38
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 14:29
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 14:30
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 16:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 16:30
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 15:29
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 15:30
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 15:40
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -7.25%E -3.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -8.02%E -4.83%K -12.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 16:44
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-19 16:44
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 16:00
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 16:30
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 15:39
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 16:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-03-19 16:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-03-19 16:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-03-19 16:40
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-03-19 16:39
ProphetX2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82%1.1%2026-03-19 16:40
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.4%2026-03-19 16:39
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%2.6%2026-03-19 16:24