La scuola delle quote

Ethan Quinn v Hubert Hurkacz

Inizio: 2026-03-19 17:20 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

55 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ethan Quinn (Casa)

Previsione 44.59%2.24quota equa
EV +0.331%
Vantaggio +0.147%
Kelly +0.265%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.53%44.36%44.74%46.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.132.122.2550.00%47.01%47.17%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hubert Hurkacz (Trasferta)

Previsione 55.41%1.80quota equa
EV -3.59%
Vantaggio -2.06%
Kelly -4.85%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.76%55.64%55.26%57.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.701.701.7460.61%58.83%58.82%57.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.331%E +0.147%K +0.265%G +0.001%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 16:24
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.331%E +0.147%K +0.265%G +0.001%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 16:25
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.561%E -0.252%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:44
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.01%E -0.454%K -0.825%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 14:29
DraftKings2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -1.45%E -0.657%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 16:22
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.90%E -0.863%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 16:04
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.90%E -0.863%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:30
SportsBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -2.34%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 14:30
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:39
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:39
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:39
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:39
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:04
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 15:30
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 14:32
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:38
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:44
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:45
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:44
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:44
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 09:40
ReBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 15:29
Unibet (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 15:39
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:40
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 16:00
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:45
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:44
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:39
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:44
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:44
Unibet (UK)2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.91%E -2.80%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 16:45
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 08:55
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 15:30
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 21:00
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 16:40
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 16:38
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 14:29
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 14:30
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 16:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 16:30
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 15:29
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 15:30
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 15:40
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -7.25%E -3.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -8.02%E -4.83%K -12.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 16:44
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-19 16:44
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 16:00
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 16:30
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 15:39
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 16:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-03-19 16:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-03-19 16:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-03-19 16:40
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-03-19 16:39
ProphetX2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82%1.1%2026-03-19 16:40
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.4%2026-03-19 16:39
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%2.6%2026-03-19 16:24